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Deportivo San Pedro vs Xelaju - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Fuentes E.
47'
Macal E.
51'
Castaneda J.

AI Match Summary

Deportivo San Pedro in this Liga Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo San Pedro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Deportivo San Pedro
30%
Draws
41%
Xelaju
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Xelaju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Deportivo San Pedro haven't matched Xelaju's recent run of results.
  • Xelaju are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Deportivo San Pedro Clean Sheet 14%
Xelaju Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo San Pedro Xelaju
Matches Played 12 29
Wins 5 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1.69
Goals Conceded 1 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Liga Nacional
Xelaju vs Deportivo San Pedro
2:0
Jul 25, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo San Pedro vs Xelaju
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo San Pedro Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguila G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Xelaju Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo San Pedro 19 / 100
Xelaju 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo San Pedro Xelaju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Xelaju Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xelaju has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Deportivo San Pedro has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Deportivo San Pedro scored in 58% of their last 12 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo San Pedro VS Xelaju
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo San Pedro

(Home)
04 Oct
Xelaju
2 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
26 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Deportivo San Pedro
20 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
1 : 1
Coban Imperial
13 Sept
Marquense
0 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
09 Sept
Deportivo San Pedro
2 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
Page 1 of 3

Xelaju

(Away)
10 Oct
Aurora F.C.
2 : 1
Xelaju
04 Oct
Xelaju
2 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
27 Sept
Xelaju
2 : 3
Comunicaciones
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
20 Sept
Suchitepequez
2 : 2
Xelaju
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guastatoya 13 8 1 4 19:15 25
2 Municipal 11 7 3 1 17:6 24
3 Antigua 12 7 1 4 22:18 22
4 Marquense 12 6 1 5 13:15 19
5 Xelaju 13 5 3 5 25:16 18
6 Deportivo Mixco 11 6 0 5 19:17 18
7 Deportivo San Pedro 12 5 3 4 14:12 18
8 Aurora F.C. 13 5 0 8 19:22 15
9 Malacateco 13 4 3 6 14:19 15
10 Comunicaciones 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
11 Coban Imperial 12 3 4 5 15:18 13
12 Suchitepequez 12 1 3 8 11:26 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)