Sport Picks
Deportivo Santani vs Sportivo Carapegua
Paraguay
Division Intermedia 2025 
Match Events
7'
7'
Insfran A.
25'
25'
Barbas B.
40'
40'
Benitez M.
AI Match Summary
The Division Intermedia 2025 game between Deportivo Santani and Sportivo Carapegua finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Santani.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Deportivo Santani
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Deportivo Santani carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Deportivo Santani a 90% chance of winning this.
- Regular Division Intermedia 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Sportivo Carapegua have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Deportivo Santani Clean Sheet 68%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Deportivo Santani | Sportivo Carapegua |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.50 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 27, 2026 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Deportivo Santani
1:0
Aug 28, 2025 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Santani vs Sportivo Carapegua
4:1
May 25, 2025 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Deportivo Santani
4:0
Jul 28, 2024 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Deportivo Santani
1:0
Apr 22, 2024 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Santani vs Sportivo Carapegua
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Deportivo Santani Compare
Top Goalscorer Insfran A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Barbas B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Sportivo Carapegua Compare
Top Goalscorer Benitez M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Deportivo Santani 95 / 100
Sportivo Carapegua 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Deportivo Santani Sportivo Carapegua
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Sportivo Carapegua conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.
Deportivo Santani's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Deportivo Santani remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Deportivo Santani VS Sportivo Carapegua
2 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Deportivo Santani
(Home) 24 Jul
Deportivo Santani
2 : 0 Paraguari AC
20 Jul
Deportivo Santani
2 : 3 Fernando de la Mora
11 Jul
3 de Noviembre
0 : 4 Deportivo Santani
05 Jul
Deportivo Santani
2 : 1 General Caballero JLM
01 Jul
Guairena FC
0 : 2 Deportivo Santani
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24 Jul
Deportivo Santani
2 : 0 Paraguari AC
20 Jul
Deportivo Santani
2 : 3 Fernando de la Mora
05 Jul
Deportivo Santani
2 : 1 General Caballero JLM
04 Jun
Deportivo Santani
3 : 0 Resistencia
23 May
Deportivo Santani
1 : 0 Deportivo Capiata
Page 1 of 3
Sportivo Carapegua
(Away) 18 Jul
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 1 Guairena FC
10 Jul
Resistencia
1 : 1 Sportivo Carapegua
05 Jul
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 1 Sol de America
27 Jun
Deportivo Capiata
5 : 2 Sportivo Carapegua
06 Jun
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 2 Independiente FBC
Page 1 of 6
10 Jul
Resistencia
1 : 1 Sportivo Carapegua
27 Jun
Deportivo Capiata
5 : 2 Sportivo Carapegua
31 May
Tacuary
2 : 2 Sportivo Carapegua
21 May
Benjamin Aceval
2 : 0 Sportivo Carapegua
17 May
Paraguari AC
1 : 0 Sportivo Carapegua
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rubio Nu | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 46:21 | 60 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 38:22 | 53 |
| 3 | Deportivo Capiata | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 37:21 | 52 |
| 4 | 12 de Junio | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 36:26 | 48 |
| 5 | Pastoreo | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 34:31 | 41 |
| 6 | Resistencia | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 46:50 | 40 |
| 7 | Guairena FC | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 39 |
| 8 | Sol de America | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 34:35 | 38 |
| 9 | Tacuary | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | 38 |
| 10 | Club River Plate | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 35:39 | 37 |
| 11 | Deportivo Santani | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 33:35 | 35 |
| 12 | Encarnacion FC | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 33:42 | 35 |
| 13 | Sportivo Carapegua | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 39:46 | 34 |
| 14 | Independiente FBC | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32:40 | 34 |
| 15 | Fernando de la Mora | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 24:40 | 28 |
| 16 | Guarani de Fram | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 35:49 | 26 |
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2025 (Apertura)