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Deportivo Santani vs Sportivo Carapegua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Mereles J.
45' Event
Vogado E.

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Santani in this Division Intermedia matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Deportivo Santani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Deportivo Santani
20%
Draws
38%
Sportivo Carapegua
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Deportivo Santani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Deportivo Santani lately — more wins on the board than Sportivo Carapegua.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Deportivo Santani Clean Sheet 20%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportivo Santani Sportivo Carapegua
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.57 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Santani vs Sportivo Carapegua
2:0
Apr 27, 2026 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Deportivo Santani
1:0
Aug 28, 2025 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Santani vs Sportivo Carapegua
4:1
May 25, 2025 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Deportivo Santani
4:0
Jul 28, 2024 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Deportivo Santani
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportivo Santani Compare

Top Goalscorer Mereles J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vogado E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Sportivo Carapegua Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportivo Santani 32 / 100
Sportivo Carapegua 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportivo Santani Sportivo Carapegua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Deportivo Santani scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Sportivo Carapegua has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Deportivo Santani stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportivo Santani VS Sportivo Carapegua
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportivo Santani

(Home)
11 Oct
General Caballero JLM
2 : 1
Deportivo Santani
06 Oct
Deportivo Santani
1 : 0
Guairena FC
27 Sept
Resistencia
1 : 2
Deportivo Santani
18 Sept
Deportivo Santani
3 : 0
Sol de America
13 Sept
Deportivo Capiata
0 : 1
Deportivo Santani
Page 1 of 6

Sportivo Carapegua

(Away)
09 Oct
Sol de America
2 : 4
Sportivo Carapegua
02 Oct
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 1
Deportivo Capiata
25 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 1
Sportivo Carapegua
20 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 0
Tacuary
15 Sept
Atletico Tembetary
1 : 2
Sportivo Carapegua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 General Caballero JLM 28 17 5 6 56:34 56
2 Deportivo Santani 28 17 3 8 47:27 54
3 12 de Junio 28 14 9 5 37:28 51
4 Independiente FBC 28 11 10 7 43:35 43
5 Benjamin Aceval 27 12 6 9 42:35 42
6 Sportivo Carapegua 28 12 6 10 36:41 42
7 Sol de America 28 9 14 5 35:29 41
8 Paraguari AC 28 12 5 11 40:37 41
9 Resistencia 28 9 9 10 32:33 36
10 Atletico Tembetary 28 10 6 12 39:45 36
11 Fernando de la Mora 28 9 7 12 32:40 34
12 3 de Noviembre 28 7 8 13 36:42 29
13 Deportivo Capiata 27 6 11 10 31:37 29
14 Guairena FC 28 7 7 14 23:36 28
15 Tacuary 28 4 12 12 32:47 24
16 Encarnacion FC 28 6 4 18 25:40 22
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)