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Derby Academie vs Korofina

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Derby Academie play Korofina in the Premiere Division. It looks like a close match. Recently, Derby Academie averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Korofina averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Derby Academie won 0, Korofina won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 4, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Derby Academie and 0.69 for Korofina. This points to a Korofina double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Derby Academie
20%
Draws
38%
Korofina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Derby Academie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Korofina has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Derby Academie.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Derby Academie.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premiere Division provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Derby Academie Clean Sheet 68%
Korofina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby Academie Korofina
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 14 8
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Premiere Division
Korofina vs Derby Academie
2:0
Jan 26, 2026 Premiere Division
Derby Academie vs Korofina
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby Academie 51 / 100
Korofina 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby Academie Korofina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derby Academie scored in 50% of their last 26 games.

Korofina let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Derby Academie went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Korofina lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Derby Academie VS Korofina
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Djoliba26185341:1259
2Stade Malien26148428:1550
3Real Bamako26147532:1449
4Diarra26135832:2444
5Binga26127728:1543
6USFAS Bamako26126837:2742
7Korofina26961128:3133
8Bougouba26871121:3431
9Derby Academie26514719:2229
10Bakaridjan26691120:2727
11Foot Elite26761323:3827
12Onze Createurs26681216:2426
13Mali Coura26481420:3120
14US Bougouni26441812:4316