Sport Picks

Mali

Premiere Division

Match Events

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Derby Academie host Mali Coura in the Premiere Division. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Mali Coura have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Derby Academie have conceded 0.75 and scored 1.13. Past meetings favor Derby Academie slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 10, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 0.75) point toward Derby Academie. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Derby Academie

44%

Draws

20%

Mali Coura

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Derby Academie has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Mali Coura.
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Premiere Division provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 21%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Derby Academie Clean Sheet 27%

Mali Coura Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Derby Academie	Mali Coura
Matches Played	26	27
Wins	5	4
Draws	14	8
Losses	7	15
Goals Scored	1.13	0.75
Goals Conceded	0.75	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Premiere Division

Derby Academie vs Mali Coura

Possession: 48% - 51% Cards: 0 - 3

2:2

Jan 30, 2026 Premiere Division

Mali Coura vs Derby Academie

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby Academie 38 / 100

Mali Coura 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Derby Academie Mali Coura

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derby Academie scored in 50% of their last 26 games.

Mali Coura let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Derby Academie went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Mali Coura lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Derby Academie VS Mali Coura

1.13 Goals Scored 0.75

0.75 Goals Conceded 1

63% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 13%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Djoliba	26	18	5	3	41:12	59
2	Stade Malien	26	14	8	4	28:15	50
3	Real Bamako	26	14	7	5	32:14	49
4	Diarra	26	13	5	8	32:24	44
5	Binga	26	12	7	7	28:15	43
6	USFAS Bamako	26	12	6	8	37:27	42
7	Korofina	26	9	6	11	28:31	33
8	Bougouba	26	8	7	11	21:34	31
9	Derby Academie	26	5	14	7	19:22	29
10	Bakaridjan	26	6	9	11	20:27	27
11	Foot Elite	26	7	6	13	23:38	27
12	Onze Createurs	26	6	8	12	16:24	26
13	Mali Coura	26	4	8	14	20:31	20
14	US Bougouni	26	4	4	18	12:43	16