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Derby Academie vs US Bougouni

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Derby Academie in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Derby Academie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Derby Academie
11%
Draws
9%
US Bougouni
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Derby Academie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Derby Academie average 1.25 goals a game right now, well clear of US Bougouni's 0.38.
  • Model gives Derby Academie a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Derby Academie Clean Sheet 68%
US Bougouni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby Academie US Bougouni
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 14 5
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.25 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Premiere Division
Derby Academie vs US Bougouni
2:1
Jan 21, 2026 Premiere Division
US Bougouni vs Derby Academie
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby Academie 86 / 100
US Bougouni 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby Academie US Bougouni

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DFA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

US Bougouni let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: US Bougouni registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Derby Academie's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Derby Academie VS US Bougouni
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Djoliba26185341:1259
2Stade Malien26148428:1550
3Real Bamako26147532:1449
4Diarra26135832:2444
5Binga26127728:1543
6USFAS Bamako26126837:2742
7Korofina26961128:3133
8Bougouba26871121:3431
9Derby Academie26514719:2229
10Bakaridjan26691120:2727
11Foot Elite26761323:3827
12Onze Createurs26681216:2426
13Mali Coura26481420:3120
14US Bougouni26441812:4316