Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Ibrovic-Fletcher E.
Assist: Hamilton J.
34'
34'
Green I.
Assist: Mintus M.
35'
35'
Myers K.
AI Match Summary
Leeds U18 in this Premier League U18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leeds U18.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Derby U18
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Leeds U18 haven't matched Derby U18's recent run of results.
- 46% — that's where the model lands on Derby U18 taking it.
- Regular Premier League U18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Derby U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Leeds U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derby U18 | Leeds U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.4 | 2.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.94 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 7, 2026 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Leeds U18
2:3
Aug 23, 2025 Premier League U18
Leeds U18 vs Derby U18
4:0
Mar 29, 2025 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Leeds U18
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 Premier League U18
Leeds U18 vs Derby U18
0:6
Apr 24, 2024 Premier League U18
Leeds U18 vs Derby U18
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Derby U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Green I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Myers K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47
Leeds U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Ibrovic-Fletcher E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Stockton T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Derby U18 83 / 100
Leeds U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Derby U18 Leeds U18
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Derby U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Derby U18 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
Leeds U18's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Derby U18 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Derby U18 VS Leeds U18
2 Goals Scored 1.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 3.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Derby U18
(Home) 19 Sept
Derby U18
3 : 3 Liverpool U18
12 Sept
Stoke City U18
0 : 2 Derby U18
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2 Nottingham U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3 Derby U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4 Burnley U18
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Derby U18
3 : 3 Liverpool U18
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2 Nottingham U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4 Burnley U18
08 May
Derby U18
4 : 3 Liverpool U18
24 Apr
Derby U18
1 : 2 Burnley U18
Page 1 of 3
Leeds U18
(Away) 12 Sept
Leeds U18
3 : 1 Leicester U18
05 Sept
Leeds U18
1 : 3 Burnley U18
29 Aug
Manchester City U18
5 : 1 Leeds U18
22 Aug
Leeds U18
2 : 1 Wolves U18
15 Aug
Everton U18
6 : 1 Leeds U18
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Manchester City U18
5 : 1 Leeds U18
15 Aug
Everton U18
6 : 1 Leeds U18
09 May
Burnley U18
7 : 4 Leeds U18
05 May
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 2 Leeds U18
18 Apr
Sunderland U18
5 : 1 Leeds U18
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U18 | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 96:39 | 60 |
| 2 | Manchester United U18 | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 65:24 | 56 |
| 3 | Newcastle Utd U18 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 55:44 | 49 |
| 4 | Everton U18 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 54:45 | 42 |
| 5 | Nottingham U18 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 50:47 | 42 |
| 6 | Sunderland U18 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 56:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough U18 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 45:45 | 39 |
| 8 | Liverpool U18 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 70:70 | 35 |
| 9 | Blackburn U18 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 51:68 | 33 |
| 10 | Derby U18 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 44:67 | 32 |
| 11 | Burnley U18 | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 49:68 | 30 |
| 12 | Leeds U18 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 47:68 | 29 |
| 13 | Wolves U18 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 29:55 | 20 |
| 14 | Stoke City U18 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 42:69 | 17 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U18 | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 88:24 | 67 |
| 2 | Tottenham U18 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 70:36 | 54 |
| 3 | Aston Villa U18 | 28 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 82:55 | 54 |
| 4 | Brighton U18 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 63:41 | 49 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace U18 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 74:52 | 46 |
| 6 | West Brom U18 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 68:50 | 46 |
| 7 | Southampton U18 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 65:61 | 42 |
| 8 | West Ham U18 | 28 | 13 | 2 | 13 | 62:59 | 41 |
| 9 | Leicester U18 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 46:53 | 36 |
| 10 | Arsenal U18 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 46:57 | 33 |
| 11 | Fulham U18 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 48:65 | 33 |
| 12 | Norwich U18 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 47:67 | 26 |
| 13 | Reading U18 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 38:66 | 26 |
| 14 | Birmingham U18 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 29:88 | 21 |
| 15 | Ipswich U18 | 28 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 41:93 | 20 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
