Sport Picks
Derby U18 vs Manchester City U18 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
Derby U18 host Manchester City U18 in the Premier League U18. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Derby U18 at 1.89 goals for, 2.43 against; Manchester City U18 at 3.63 for, 1.49 against. Head-to-head, Derby U18 have won 1 to Manchester City U18's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 5:3. Model xG sits at 2.31 vs 2.75, favoring Manchester City U18. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Manchester City U18 have won more games recently than Derby U18.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Manchester City U18 taking it.
- Regular Premier League U18 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
- Manchester City U18 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derby U18 | Manchester City U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 35 |
| Wins | 11 | 27 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.89 | 3.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.43 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Derby U18 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).
H2H data points to 6.60 goals as a typical output.
Manchester City U18 let in goals in 69% of their last 35 matches.
Solid form: Derby U18 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Derby U18
(Home)Manchester City U18
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U18 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 26:8 | 18 |
| 2 | Newcastle Utd U18 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 19:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Manchester United U18 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16:1 | 12 |
| 4 | Nottingham U18 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:4 | 10 |
| 5 | Liverpool U18 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14:11 | 8 |
| 6 | Burnley U18 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 8 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough U18 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:12 | 8 |
| 8 | Derby U18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:13 | 7 |
| 9 | Everton U18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:12 | 6 |
| 10 | Leeds U18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:16 | 6 |
| 11 | Blackburn U18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:20 | 6 |
| 12 | Stoke City U18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11:18 | 4 |
| 13 | Leicester U18 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:11 | 2 |
| 14 | Sunderland U18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:9 | 1 |
| 15 | Wolves U18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:18 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham U18 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 33:9 | 16 |
| 2 | Chelsea U18 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 28:10 | 15 |
| 3 | Southampton U18 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 21:12 | 12 |
| 4 | Fulham U18 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 23:15 | 12 |
| 5 | Arsenal U18 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:6 | 10 |
| 6 | West Ham U18 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16:15 | 10 |
| 7 | Brighton U18 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 8 | Ipswich U18 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15:15 | 9 |
| 9 | Brentford U18 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15:15 | 9 |
| 10 | Aston Villa U18 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 8 |
| 11 | West Brom U18 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:14 | 7 |
| 12 | Norwich U18 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13:22 | 6 |
| 13 | Bournemouth U18 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14:22 | 5 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace U18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | 4 |
| 15 | Reading U18 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9:25 | 4 |
| 16 | Birmingham U18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:22 | 3 |