Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Griffiths E.
Assist: Smith C.
9'
9'
Lightfoot A.
Assist: Neill M.
27'
27'
Proctor T.
Assist: Neill M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League U18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Sunderland U18 have won more games recently than Derby U18.
- Model gives Derby U18 a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Premier League U18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Derby U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Sunderland U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derby U18 | Sunderland U18 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 2.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.4 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 17, 2026 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Sunderland U18
2:2
Sep 13, 2025 Premier League U18
Sunderland U18 vs Derby U18
3:0
Mar 15, 2025 Premier League U18
Sunderland U18 vs Derby U18
0:3
Jan 11, 2025 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Sunderland U18
0:3
Apr 13, 2024 Premier League U18
Derby U18 vs Sunderland U18
6:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Derby U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Griffiths E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Friars A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Sunderland U18 Compare
Top Goalscorer Lightfoot A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Proctor T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Derby U18 40 / 100
Sunderland U18 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Derby U18 Sunderland U18
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Derby U18's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Sunderland U18 conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Derby U18 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Derby U18 VS Sunderland U18
2 Goals Scored 2.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Derby U18
(Home) 19 Sept
Derby U18
3 : 3 Liverpool U18
12 Sept
Stoke City U18
0 : 2 Derby U18
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2 Nottingham U18
29 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
1 : 3 Derby U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4 Burnley U18
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Derby U18
3 : 3 Liverpool U18
05 Sept
Derby U18
0 : 2 Nottingham U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4 Burnley U18
08 May
Derby U18
4 : 3 Liverpool U18
24 Apr
Derby U18
1 : 2 Burnley U18
Page 1 of 3
Sunderland U18
(Away) 19 Sept
Sunderland U18
0 : 3 Newcastle Utd U18
12 Sept
Manchester City U18
4 : 1 Sunderland U18
29 Aug
Burnley U18
2 : 2 Sunderland U18
09 May
Sunderland U18
1 : 0 Wolves U18
05 May
Sunderland U18
4 : 0 Everton U18
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Manchester City U18
4 : 1 Sunderland U18
29 Aug
Burnley U18
2 : 2 Sunderland U18
02 May
Blackburn U18
3 : 1 Sunderland U18
14 Apr
Manchester City U18
4 : 1 Sunderland U18
11 Apr
Stoke City U18
0 : 4 Sunderland U18
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U18 | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 96:39 | 60 |
| 2 | Manchester United U18 | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 65:24 | 56 |
| 3 | Newcastle Utd U18 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 55:44 | 49 |
| 4 | Everton U18 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 54:45 | 42 |
| 5 | Nottingham U18 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 50:47 | 42 |
| 6 | Sunderland U18 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 56:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough U18 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 45:45 | 39 |
| 8 | Liverpool U18 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 13 | 70:70 | 35 |
| 9 | Blackburn U18 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 51:68 | 33 |
| 10 | Derby U18 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 44:67 | 32 |
| 11 | Burnley U18 | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 49:68 | 30 |
| 12 | Leeds U18 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 47:68 | 29 |
| 13 | Wolves U18 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 29:55 | 20 |
| 14 | Stoke City U18 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 42:69 | 17 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U18 | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 88:24 | 67 |
| 2 | Tottenham U18 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 70:36 | 54 |
| 3 | Aston Villa U18 | 28 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 82:55 | 54 |
| 4 | Brighton U18 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 63:41 | 49 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace U18 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 74:52 | 46 |
| 6 | West Brom U18 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 68:50 | 46 |
| 7 | Southampton U18 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 65:61 | 42 |
| 8 | West Ham U18 | 28 | 13 | 2 | 13 | 62:59 | 41 |
| 9 | Leicester U18 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 46:53 | 36 |
| 10 | Arsenal U18 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 46:57 | 33 |
| 11 | Fulham U18 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 48:65 | 33 |
| 12 | Norwich U18 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 47:67 | 26 |
| 13 | Reading U18 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 38:66 | 26 |
| 14 | Birmingham U18 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 29:88 | 21 |
| 15 | Ipswich U18 | 28 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 41:93 | 20 |
Promotion - Premier League U18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
