Sport Picks
Derby U19 vs FC Minsk U19
Europe
UEFA Youth League 2019/2020 Pride Park, Derby 
Match Events
4'
4'
Brown A.
Assist: Sibley L.
16'
16'
Stretton J.
Assist: Sibley L.
26'
26'
Brown A.
Assist: Whittaker M.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 7-2, with Derby U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Derby U19
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- FC Minsk U19 haven't matched Derby U19's recent run of results.
- Model gives Derby U19 a 90% chance of winning this.
- Derby U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Derby U19, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Derby U19 Clean Sheet 68%
FC Minsk U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derby U19 | FC Minsk U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 3.17 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.17 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 2.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 22, 2019 UEFA Youth League
Derby U19 vs FC Minsk U19
7:2
Oct 2, 2019 UEFA Youth League
FC Minsk U19 vs Derby U19
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Derby U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Brown A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Stretton J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.44
Avg xA / game 1.58
FC Minsk U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Zherdev G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vorobyov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Derby U19 95 / 100
FC Minsk U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Derby U19 FC Minsk U19
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Derby U19 found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (6 games).
H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.
FC Minsk U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 12 matches.
Derby U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Derby U19 VS FC Minsk U19
3.17 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
83% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Derby U19
(Home) 04 Mar
Salzburg U19
4 : 1 Derby U19
11 Feb
Derby U19
3 : 1 Dortmund U19
27 Nov
Derby U19
4 : 1 Akranes U19
06 Nov
Akranes U19
1 : 2 Derby U19
22 Oct
Derby U19
7 : 2 FC Minsk U19
Page 1 of 2
11 Feb
Derby U19
3 : 1 Dortmund U19
27 Nov
Derby U19
4 : 1 Akranes U19
22 Oct
Derby U19
7 : 2 FC Minsk U19
FC Minsk U19
(Away) 24 Nov
FC Minsk U19
1 : 1 Hajduk Split U19
03 Nov
Hajduk Split U19
3 : 0 FC Minsk U19
20 Oct
FC Minsk U19
2 : 0 BFC Daugavpils U19
29 Sept
BFC Daugavpils U19
0 : 4 FC Minsk U19
22 Oct
Derby U19
7 : 2 FC Minsk U19
Page 1 of 3
03 Nov
Hajduk Split U19
3 : 0 FC Minsk U19
29 Sept
BFC Daugavpils U19
0 : 4 FC Minsk U19
22 Oct
Derby U19
7 : 2 FC Minsk U19
07 Nov
PAOK U19
2 : 1 FC Minsk U19
24 Oct
Illes Akademia U19
3 : 3 FC Minsk U19
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Shkendija Tirane U191
Sheriff Tiraspol U193
Sogndal U194
Honka U192
Zaragoza U195
Korona Kielce U191
Gabala U191
APOEL U192
Elfsborg U191
Midtjylland U193
MTK Budapest U191
Zrinjski U193
Akranes U1916
Levadia U191
FC Minsk U192
Derby U199
FC Porto U197
FK Liepaja U192
FC Viitorul U190
Domzale U192
Dynamo Kyiv U1910
Shkendija Tetovo U192
Bohemians U191
PAOK U192
Young Boys U195
Rangers U195
Ludogorets U191
Slovan Bratislava U192
Rennes U192
Brodarac U191
FC Astana U191
Maccabi Petah Tikva U194
Final
Sheriff Tiraspol U193
Sogndal U193
Zaragoza U199
APOEL U190
Midtjylland U193
Zrinjski U191
Akranes U192
Derby U196
FC Porto U195
Domzale U192
Dynamo Kyiv U195
PAOK U192
Rangers U194
Slovan Bratislava U191
Rennes U193
Maccabi Petah Tikva U190