Sport Picks
Derby U21 vs Tottenham U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Premier League 2 Grange Park, Long Eaton 
Match Events
2'
2'
Elliott-Parris R.
Assist: Hall T.
5'
5'
Marsh Z.
Assist: Smith C.
27'
27'
Hall T.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2 game between Derby U21 and Tottenham U21 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tottenham U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
17%
15%
68%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tottenham U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- Derby U21 haven't matched Tottenham U21's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Tottenham U21's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Premier League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
- Tottenham U21 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Derby U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Tottenham U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derby U21 | Tottenham U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.36 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Premier League 2
Derby U21 vs Tottenham U21
1:3
Jan 10, 2025 Premier League 2
Derby U21 vs Tottenham U21
2:1
Aug 25, 2023 Premier League 2
Derby U21 vs Tottenham U21
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Derby U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Marsh Z.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Tottenham U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Elliott-Parris R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hall T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Derby U21 22 / 100
Tottenham U21 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Derby U21 Tottenham U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tottenham U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Derby U21 scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Tottenham U21 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Derby U21 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Derby U21 VS Tottenham U21
2.5 Goals Scored 2.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Derby U21
(Home) 26 Oct
Derby U21
3 : 4 Norwich U21
19 Oct
Birmingham U21
0 : 4 Derby U21
13 Oct
Scunthorpe
3 : 2 Derby U21
10 Oct
Brentford U21
4 : 2 Derby U21
18 Sept
Burnley U21
4 : 1 Derby U21
Page 1 of 6
26 Oct
Derby U21
3 : 4 Norwich U21
11 Sept
Derby U21
1 : 3 Tottenham U21
31 Aug
Derby U21
4 : 4 West Brom U21
14 Aug
Derby U21
1 : 4 Hull City U21
01 Aug
Derby U21
0 : 3 Carlisle
Page 1 of 3
Tottenham U21
(Away) 25 Oct
Middlesbrough U21
1 : 2 Tottenham U21
18 Oct
Tottenham U21
2 : 0 Leicester U21
13 Oct
Cheltenham
3 : 2 Tottenham U21
19 Sept
Tottenham U21
4 : 2 Manchester City U21
15 Sept
Tottenham U21
3 : 1 Dinamo Zagreb 2
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
Middlesbrough U21
1 : 2 Tottenham U21
13 Oct
Cheltenham
3 : 2 Tottenham U21
11 Sept
Derby U21
1 : 3 Tottenham U21
08 Sept
Exeter
2 : 0 Tottenham U21
24 Aug
Newcastle Utd U21
1 : 3 Tottenham U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham U21 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17:8 | 16 |
| 2 | Southampton U21 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Chelsea U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:11 | 13 |
| 4 | Norwich U21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Nottingham U21 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Liverpool U21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 11 |
| 7 | Sunderland U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:14 | 10 |
| 8 | Fulham U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Bournemouth U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:13 | 10 |
| 10 | Reading U21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 11 | Manchester United U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:6 | 9 |
| 12 | Brentford U21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15:13 | 9 |
| 13 | Everton U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 14 | Brighton U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14:14 | 8 |
| 15 | West Ham U21 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 16 | Aston Villa U21 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 7 |
| 18 | Derby U21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16:16 | 7 |
| 19 | Leeds U21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:13 | 7 |
| 20 | Manchester City U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:9 | 6 |
| 21 | Ipswich U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:10 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 23 | Stoke City U21 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 4 |
| 24 | Leicester U21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | 4 |
| 25 | Arsenal U21 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7:13 | 4 |
| 26 | Burnley U21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 3 |
| 27 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 28 | Wolves U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 3 |
| 29 | Middlesbrough U21 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 2 |
| 30 | Birmingham U21 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:16 | 2 |
| 31 | West Brom U21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11:17 | 1 |
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