Sport Picks

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Derby U21 vs Tottenham U21

England England

Premier League 2
Fri, Sep 11, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Derby U21 host Tottenham U21 in the Premier League 2. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Tottenham U21 have shipped 1.86 goals a game lately, while Derby U21 have conceded 2.27 and scored 1.47. Head-to-head, Derby U21 have won 1 to Tottenham U21's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 10, 2025, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 2.13, favoring Tottenham U21. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Derby U21
15%
Draws
57%
Tottenham U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tottenham U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Derby U21 haven't matched Tottenham U21's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Tottenham U21's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Premier League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Derby U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Tottenham U21 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby U21 Tottenham U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 7 2
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.47 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2025 Premier League 2
Derby U21 vs Tottenham U21
2:1
Aug 25, 2023 Premier League 2
Derby U21 vs Tottenham U21
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby U21 18 / 100
Tottenham U21 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby U21 Tottenham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tottenham U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derby U21 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Tottenham U21 has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Tottenham U21's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Derby U21 VS Tottenham U21
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby U21

(Home)
24 Aug
Reading U21
1 : 3
Derby U21
18 Aug
Halifax
6 : 2
Derby U21
14 Aug
Derby U21
1 : 4
Hull City U21
01 Aug
Derby U21
0 : 3
Carlisle
27 Apr
Brentford U21
2 : 0
Derby U21
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Tottenham U21

(Away)
24 Aug
Newcastle Utd U21
1 : 3
Tottenham U21
04 Aug
Enfield Town
3 : 0
Tottenham U21
01 Aug
Algeciras
1 : 2
Tottenham U21
25 Jul
Hornchurch
3 : 1
Tottenham U21
21 Jul
Boreham Wood
2 : 1
Tottenham U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crystal Palace U21 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
2 Southampton U21 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Norwich U21 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
4 Manchester United U21 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
5 Sunderland U21 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
6 Manchester City U21 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
7 Derby U21 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
8 Tottenham U21 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
9 Fulham U21 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
10 Leeds U21 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
11 Brentford U21 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
12 Bournemouth U21 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
13 Reading U21 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
14 Aston Villa U21 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
15 Ipswich U21 2 1 0 1 4:6 3
16 Nottingham U21 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
17 Arsenal U21 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
18 Liverpool U21 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
19 West Ham U21 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
20 Stoke City U21 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
21 Everton U21 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
22 Birmingham U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
23 Leicester U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
24 West Brom U21 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
25 Chelsea U21 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
26 Brighton U21 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
27 Middlesbrough U21 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
28 Newcastle Utd U21 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
29 Burnley U21 2 0 0 2 4:7 0
30 Blackburn U21 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
31 Wolves U21 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
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