Sport Picks
Derby U23 vs Arsenal U23
England
Premier League 2 2021/2022 Loughborough University Stadium, Leicestershire 
Match Events
17'
17'
Hutchinson I.
39'
39'
Aghatise O.
41'
41'
Ideho J.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2 2021/2022 game between Derby U23 and Arsenal U23 finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Arsenal U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Arsenal U23 come out ahead of Derby U23 on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Arsenal U23's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Premier League 2 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Derby U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Arsenal U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derby U23 | Arsenal U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 33 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 13 |
| Losses | 18 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.75 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.75 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 21, 2022 Premier League 2
Derby U23 vs Arsenal U23
1:1
Nov 26, 2021 Premier League 2
Arsenal U23 vs Derby U23
3:5
Apr 12, 2021 Premier League 2
Derby U23 vs Arsenal U23
2:3
Nov 27, 2020 Premier League 2
Arsenal U23 vs Derby U23
3:1
Jan 3, 2020 Premier League 2
Arsenal U23 vs Derby U23
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Derby U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Hutchinson I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Arsenal U23 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Derby U23 10 / 100
Arsenal U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Derby U23 Arsenal U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ARS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arsenal U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 33 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.
Derby U23 found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).
Arsenal U23's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Derby U23 VS Arsenal U23
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Derby U23
(Home) 09 May
Crystal Palace U23
3 : 1 Derby U23
02 May
West Ham U23
5 : 0 Derby U23
25 Apr
Derby U23
0 : 1 Tottenham U23
15 Apr
Leicester U23
2 : 1 Derby U23
10 Apr
Derby U23
3 : 4 West Brom U23
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25 Apr
Derby U23
0 : 1 Tottenham U23
10 Apr
Derby U23
3 : 4 West Brom U23
13 Mar
Derby U23
0 : 0 Leicester U23
07 Mar
Derby U23
4 : 3 Sheffield Utd U23
21 Feb
Derby U23
0 : 2 Everton U23
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Arsenal U23
(Away) 01 Aug
St. Albans
0 : 1 Arsenal U23
15 Jul
Hendon
1 : 1 Arsenal U23
05 Jul
Woking
3 : 2 Arsenal U23
29 Apr
Arsenal U23
1 : 1 Leeds U23
22 Apr
Manchester United U23
1 : 1 Arsenal U23
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01 Aug
St. Albans
0 : 1 Arsenal U23
15 Jul
Hendon
1 : 1 Arsenal U23
05 Jul
Woking
3 : 2 Arsenal U23
22 Apr
Manchester United U23
1 : 1 Arsenal U23
19 Mar
Crystal Palace U23
1 : 1 Arsenal U23
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U23 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 65:32 | 54 |
| 2 | West Ham U23 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 59:39 | 48 |
| 3 | Arsenal U23 | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 56:48 | 41 |
| 4 | Liverpool U23 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 47:37 | 40 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 54:50 | 39 |
| 6 | Manchester United U23 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 46:43 | 39 |
| 7 | Tottenham U23 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 49:45 | 37 |
| 8 | Leicester U23 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38:53 | 37 |
| 9 | Blackburn U23 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 50:56 | 35 |
| 10 | Brighton U23 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 41:41 | 34 |
| 11 | Everton U23 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 33:54 | 29 |
| 12 | Chelsea U23 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 39:47 | 28 |
| 13 | Leeds U23 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 44:49 | 27 |
| 14 | Derby U23 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 31:58 | 15 |
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League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fulham U23 | 26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 64:27 | 62 |
| 2 | Wolves U23 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 46:37 | 47 |
| 3 | Stoke City U23 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 34:36 | 43 |
| 4 | Nottingham U23 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 52:31 | 42 |
| 5 | Norwich U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 64:52 | 39 |
| 6 | Burnley U23 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 46:39 | 39 |
| 7 | Southampton U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 45:42 | 39 |
| 8 | Newcastle Utd U23 | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 51:56 | 38 |
| 9 | West Brom U23 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 44:54 | 35 |
| 10 | Aston Villa U23 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 53:51 | 32 |
| 11 | Birmingham U23 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 34:51 | 26 |
| 12 | Middlesbrough U23 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 31:50 | 26 |
| 13 | Sunderland U23 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 35:49 | 24 |
| 14 | Reading U23 | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 32:56 | 23 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)
