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Stadium Background

Derby U23 vs Manchester City U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 Loughborough University Stadium, Leicestershire
Derby U23 Logo

Derby U23

0 - 5
FT
Manchester City U23 Logo

Manchester City U23

Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Grewal-Pollard W.
24' Event
McAtee J.
33'
Clarke C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2 2021/2022 game between Derby U23 and Manchester City U23 finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manchester City U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Derby U23
20%
Draws
80%
Manchester City U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Manchester City U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Manchester City U23 come out ahead of Derby U23 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Manchester City U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League 2 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Derby U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Manchester City U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby U23 Manchester City U23
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 11 20
Draws 4 6
Losses 21 4
Goals Scored 1.64 2.63
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2022 Premier League 2
Derby U23 vs Manchester City U23
0:5
Oct 2, 2021 Premier League 2
Manchester City U23 vs Derby U23
1:0
Jan 18, 2021 Premier League 2
Derby U23 vs Manchester City U23
0:4
Sep 12, 2020 Premier League 2
Manchester City U23 vs Derby U23
3:3
May 4, 2020 Premier League 2
Manchester City U23 vs Derby U23
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derby U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Manchester City U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer McAtee J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gyabi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby U23 10 / 100
Manchester City U23 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby U23 Manchester City U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manchester City U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Derby U23 scored in 69% of their last 36 outings.

Manchester City U23 has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Derby U23 VS Manchester City U23
1.38 Goals Scored 2.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby U23

(Home)
09 May
Crystal Palace U23
3 : 1
Derby U23
02 May
West Ham U23
5 : 0
Derby U23
25 Apr
Derby U23
0 : 1
Tottenham U23
15 Apr
Leicester U23
2 : 1
Derby U23
10 Apr
Derby U23
3 : 4
West Brom U23
Page 1 of 8

Manchester City U23

(Away)
29 Apr
Manchester City U23
7 : 0
Everton U23
22 Apr
Leeds U23
1 : 3
Manchester City U23
04 Apr
Arsenal U23
3 : 3
Manchester City U23
20 Mar
Manchester City U23
0 : 0
Liverpool U23
12 Mar
Crystal Palace U23
1 : 2
Manchester City U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
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