Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Derby U23 vs Sheffield Utd U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022
Derby U23 Logo

Derby U23

Mon, Mar 7, 2022
4 - 3
07:00 PM
Sheffield Utd U23 Logo

Sheffield Utd U23

Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Arblaster O.
45' Event
Sibley L.
49' Event
Cybulski B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-3, with Derby U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Derby U23
15%
Draws
85%
Sheffield Utd U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sheffield Utd U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sheffield Utd U23 come out ahead of Derby U23 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sheffield Utd U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Sheffield Utd U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Derby U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Derby U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Sheffield Utd U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby U23 Sheffield Utd U23
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 10 19
Draws 3 4
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.61 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2022 Premier League Cup
Derby U23 vs Sheffield Utd U23
4:3
Mar 27, 2018 Premier League Cup
Sheffield Utd U23 vs Derby U23
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derby U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sibley L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cybulski B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Sheffield Utd U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Osula W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Arblaster O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby U23 10 / 100
Sheffield Utd U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby U23 Sheffield Utd U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sheffield Utd U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Derby U23 scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Sheffield Utd U23 conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Difficult form: Sheffield Utd U23 registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Derby U23 VS Sheffield Utd U23
1.25 Goals Scored 2.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby U23

(Home)
09 May
Crystal Palace U23
3 : 1
Derby U23
02 May
West Ham U23
5 : 0
Derby U23
25 Apr
Derby U23
0 : 1
Tottenham U23
15 Apr
Leicester U23
2 : 1
Derby U23
10 Apr
Derby U23
3 : 4
West Brom U23
Page 1 of 7

Sheffield Utd U23

(Away)
09 May
Sheffield Utd U23
0 : 1
Bristol City U23
03 May
Ipswich U23
3 : 0
Sheffield Utd U23
26 Apr
Sheffield Utd U23
1 : 1
Millwall U23
11 Apr
Crewe U23
0 : 3
Sheffield Utd U23
05 Apr
QPR U23
0 : 1
Sheffield Utd U23
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Derby U23 4
Sheffield Utd U23 3
West Brom U23 4
QPR U23 2
West Ham U23 5
Leeds U23 1
Fulham U23 2
Newcastle Utd U23 0
Peterborough U23 6
Charlton U23 2
Wigan U23 0
Wolves U23 1
Huddersfield U23 1
Stoke City U23 3
Middlesbrough U23 2
Arsenal U23 1
Quarter-finals
Derby U23 3
West Brom U23 4
West Ham U23 0
Fulham U23 1
Peterborough U23 0
Wolves U23 1
Stoke City U23 1
Middlesbrough U23 2
Semi-finals
West Brom U23 2
Fulham U23 1
Wolves U23 3
Middlesbrough U23 2
Final
West Brom U23 3
Wolves U23 2