Sport Picks
Derby U23 vs Tottenham U23
England
Premier League 2 2021/2022 Pride Park, Derby 
Match Events
21'
21'
Robson M.
45'
45'
Bowden J.
47'
47'
Bowden J.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2 2021/2022 game between Derby U23 and Tottenham U23 finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tottenham U23.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tottenham U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Derby U23 haven't matched Tottenham U23's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Tottenham U23's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Derby U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Tottenham U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derby U23 | Tottenham U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.17 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2022 Premier League 2
Derby U23 vs Tottenham U23
0:1
Sep 27, 2021 Premier League 2
Tottenham U23 vs Derby U23
3:1
Mar 15, 2021 Premier League 2
Derby U23 vs Tottenham U23
1:0
Nov 6, 2020 Premier League 2
Tottenham U23 vs Derby U23
1:2
Jan 13, 2020 Premier League 2
Derby U23 vs Tottenham U23
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Derby U23 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Tottenham U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Bowden J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Derby U23 10 / 100
Tottenham U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Derby U23 Tottenham U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tottenham U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tottenham U23 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Attacking prowess: Derby U23 scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Tottenham U23's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Derby U23 VS Tottenham U23
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Derby U23
(Home) 09 May
Crystal Palace U23
3 : 1 Derby U23
02 May
West Ham U23
5 : 0 Derby U23
25 Apr
Derby U23
0 : 1 Tottenham U23
15 Apr
Leicester U23
2 : 1 Derby U23
10 Apr
Derby U23
3 : 4 West Brom U23
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Derby U23
0 : 1 Tottenham U23
10 Apr
Derby U23
3 : 4 West Brom U23
13 Mar
Derby U23
0 : 0 Leicester U23
07 Mar
Derby U23
4 : 3 Sheffield Utd U23
21 Feb
Derby U23
0 : 2 Everton U23
Page 1 of 4
Tottenham U23
(Away) 24 Jul
Tottenham U23
2 : 2 Al Ettifaq FC
08 May
Chelsea U23
2 : 1 Tottenham U23
02 May
Tottenham U23
0 : 0 Brighton U23
25 Apr
Derby U23
0 : 1 Tottenham U23
04 Apr
West Ham U23
3 : 1 Tottenham U23
Page 1 of 6
08 May
Chelsea U23
2 : 1 Tottenham U23
25 Apr
Derby U23
0 : 1 Tottenham U23
04 Apr
West Ham U23
3 : 1 Tottenham U23
12 Mar
Liverpool U23
7 : 1 Tottenham U23
04 Mar
Arsenal U23
2 : 1 Tottenham U23
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City U23 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 65:32 | 54 |
| 2 | West Ham U23 | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 59:39 | 48 |
| 3 | Arsenal U23 | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 56:48 | 41 |
| 4 | Liverpool U23 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 47:37 | 40 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 54:50 | 39 |
| 6 | Manchester United U23 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 46:43 | 39 |
| 7 | Tottenham U23 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 49:45 | 37 |
| 8 | Leicester U23 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38:53 | 37 |
| 9 | Blackburn U23 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 50:56 | 35 |
| 10 | Brighton U23 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 41:41 | 34 |
| 11 | Everton U23 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 33:54 | 29 |
| 12 | Chelsea U23 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 39:47 | 28 |
| 13 | Leeds U23 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 44:49 | 27 |
| 14 | Derby U23 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 31:58 | 15 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fulham U23 | 26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 64:27 | 62 |
| 2 | Wolves U23 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 46:37 | 47 |
| 3 | Stoke City U23 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 34:36 | 43 |
| 4 | Nottingham U23 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 52:31 | 42 |
| 5 | Norwich U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 64:52 | 39 |
| 6 | Burnley U23 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 46:39 | 39 |
| 7 | Southampton U23 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 45:42 | 39 |
| 8 | Newcastle Utd U23 | 26 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 51:56 | 38 |
| 9 | West Brom U23 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 44:54 | 35 |
| 10 | Aston Villa U23 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 53:51 | 32 |
| 11 | Birmingham U23 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 34:51 | 26 |
| 12 | Middlesbrough U23 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 31:50 | 26 |
| 13 | Sunderland U23 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 35:49 | 24 |
| 14 | Reading U23 | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 32:56 | 23 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)
