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Derby W vs Leeds W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's National League North 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Derby W in this Women's National League North 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Derby W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Derby W
15%
Draws
51%
Leeds W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leeds W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Leeds W lately — more wins on the board than Derby W.
  • Derby W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Women's National League North 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Derby W Clean Sheet 11%
Leeds W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby W Leeds W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 4 3
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.3 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2014 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Leeds W
5:2
Sep 1, 2013 Women's National League North
Leeds W vs Derby W
5:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby W 38 / 100
Leeds W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby W Leeds W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derby W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Leeds W conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 7.50 goals per match.

Derby W's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Derby W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Derby W VS Leeds W
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby W

(Home)
04 Oct
Derby W
0 : 3
West Brom W
20 Sept
Peterborough W
0 : 3
Derby W
13 Sept
Huddersfield W
2 : 1
Derby W
30 Aug
Derby W
1 : 0
Middlesbrough W
23 Aug
Derby W
0 : 1
Rugby Borough W
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Leeds W

(Away)
14 Dec
Leeds W
0 : 3
West Brom W
23 Nov
Huddersfield W
1 : 3
Leeds W
26 Oct
Leeds W
5 : 1
St Helens W
26 Nov
AFC Darwen W
2 : 1
Leeds W
12 Nov
West Didsbury & Chorlton W
2 : 6
Leeds W
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