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Derby W vs Sporting Khalsa W

England England

Women's National League North 2025/2026 Don Amott Arena, Derby
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sporting Khalsa W in this Women's National League North 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting Khalsa W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Derby W
6%
Draws
4%
Sporting Khalsa W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Derby W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Derby W lately — more wins on the board than Sporting Khalsa W.
  • Derby W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Women's National League North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Derby W Clean Sheet 16%
Sporting Khalsa W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derby W Sporting Khalsa W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.25 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Sporting Khalsa W
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 Women's National League North
Sporting Khalsa W vs Derby W
0:1
Nov 17, 2024 Women's National League North
Derby W vs Sporting Khalsa W
0:0
Aug 18, 2024 Women's National League North
Sporting Khalsa W vs Derby W
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derby W 84 / 100
Sporting Khalsa W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derby W Sporting Khalsa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Khalsa W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Sporting Khalsa W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Derby W found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Derby W VS Sporting Khalsa W
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Derby W

(Home)
26 Apr
Derby W
1 : 1
Liverpool Feds W
12 Apr
West Brom W
0 : 2
Derby W
29 Mar
Derby W
3 : 0
Hull City W
22 Mar
Derby W
0 : 3
Burnley W
08 Mar
Wolverhampton W
6 : 0
Derby W
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Sporting Khalsa W

(Away)
26 Apr
Loughborough Lightning W
6 : 0
Sporting Khalsa W
12 Apr
Sporting Khalsa W
1 : 2
Middlesbrough W
29 Mar
Rugby Borough W
2 : 1
Sporting Khalsa W
22 Mar
West Brom W
6 : 0
Sporting Khalsa W
08 Mar
Hull City W
2 : 1
Sporting Khalsa W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Burnley W22202063:562
2Wolverhampton W22201170:1061
3Rugby Borough W22125543:2741
4Stoke City LFC W22103936:3133
5Middlesbrough W2287729:3031
6West Brom W2294929:3131
7Liverpool Feds W22751044:4526
8Derby W22641218:3922
9Hull City W22551223:5420
10Loughborough Lightning W22471121:4319
11Halifax W22441415:3816
12Sporting Khalsa W22311818:5610
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