Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dereham vs Canvey Island

England England

FA Cup 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Canvey Island in this FA Cup 2020/2021 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Dereham
15%
Draws
59%
Canvey Island
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Canvey Island

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Canvey Island average 1.33 goals a game right now, well clear of Dereham's 1.3.
  • Win probability leans Canvey Island's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Canvey Island, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Dereham Clean Sheet 20%
Canvey Island Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dereham Canvey Island
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.3 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2020 FA Cup
Dereham vs Canvey Island
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dereham 16 / 100
Canvey Island 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dereham Canvey Island

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canvey Island Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dereham scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Canvey Island's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Dereham remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Canvey Island
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dereham

(Home)
02 Sept
Ware
3 : 2
Dereham
24 Sept
Dereham
0 : 1
Spalding United
13 Sept
Kempston
0 : 1
Dereham
03 Sept
Dereham
0 : 1
Biggleswade Town
01 Jul
Dereham
0 : 4
Norwich
Page 1 of 6

Canvey Island

(Away)
26 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 3
Needham Market
19 Sept
Canvey Island
0 : 1
Chelmsford
12 Sept
Canvey Island
3 : 2
Cambridge City
08 Sept
Newmarket
0 : 1
Canvey Island
05 Sept
Canvey Island
1 : 1
Newmarket
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Darlington FC -
TBD -
Sunderland Ryhope 0
Prescot Cables 4
Mossley AFC 2
Ramsbottom Utd 1
Tadcaster Albion 7
Litherland REMYCA FC 2
Long Melford 1
Cheshunt 3
Cambridge City 2
Stowmarket Town 1
Hednesford 3
Long Eaton 2
West Bridgford 0
Halesowen 1
Buxton 7
Belper Town 0
Worcester 2
Stafford 3
Tavistock 2
Gosport Borough 3
TBD -
Hereford -
Stalybridge 3
Bishop Auckland 0
Longridge Town 2
Charnock Richard 0
Skelmersdale 2
Bootle 1
Lancaster 1
Runcorn Town 0
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Peterborough Sports 3
Enfield Town 2
Coggeshall Town 0
Stansted FC 1
Leamington -
TBD -
Banbury 1
Carlton Town 0
Bury Town 2
Brightlingsea 1
Harlow 0
Waltham Abbey 1
Nuneaton 2
Loughborough Dynamo 1
Bromsgrove 1
Stratford 2
Southport -
TBD -
City Of Liverpool 0
Morpeth 3
Scarborough Athletic 0
Ashton United 2
Warrington Town 0
South Shields 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Coventry Sphinx 0
Ilkeston 2
Hanley Town 3
Redditch 2
Shifnal Town 0
Alvechurch 2
TBD -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
United of Manchester 6
Pontefract Collieries 2
Coalville Town 2
Sheffield FC 0
TBD -
Alfreton -
Guiseley -
TBD -
Atherton Collieries -
Bamber Bridge -
Grantham Town 3
Rushall 2
Quorn 0
Matlock 2
Brackley -
TBD -
TBD -
Billericay -
Kettering -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Marske United 1
Trafford 0
Consett 1
Stockton 0
Whitley Bay 3
Witton Albion 2
TBD -
Blyth Spartans -
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Notts County -
Stockport County -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chesterfield -
Farsley -
TBD -
Radcliffe 5
Workington 3
West Allotment Celtic 0
Hyde 5
TBD -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Westfields 1
Worksop 3
TBD -
Chester -
Bradford PA -
TBD -
TBD -
Spennymoor -
West Auckland Town 0
Runcorn Linnets 1
Frickley 0
Marine 1
Tividale 2
Nantwich 4
Barwell 3
Bedworth United 1
Maidenhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beaconsfield Town 0
Harrow Borough 2
Cray Valley 3
Burgess Hill 1
Brantham 1
St Ives Town 0
Lowestoft 2
Aveley 3
Bedfont Sports 3
Lewes 1
Carshalton 5
Faversham 0
Dereham 0
Canvey Island 2
Ely City 1
Biggleswade FC 2
Kidlington 2
Salisbury 1
Yate 1
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Aylesbury United 2
Moneyfields 3
Cray Wanderers 3
Fisher 1
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Margate 1
Hayes & Yeading 2
South Park 2
Bognor Regis 3
Chipstead 2
Deal Town 1
East Grinstead Town 4
Worthing FC 3
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Bromley -
Chichester City 3
Cribbs 1
Cobham 1
Risborough Rangers 3
Chalfont St Peter 2
Farnborough 3
TBD -
Tonbridge -
Tiverton 2
Bideford 0
Taunton Town 5
Wantage 0
Tadley Calleva 0
Truro 1
TBD -
Hungerford -
Boston United -
TBD -
AFC Mansfield 3
Gainsborough 0
Merstham 2
AFC Dunstable 3
TBD -
Hemel Hempstead -
Corinthian 3
Sevenoaks 1
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Walthamstow FC 1
Margaretsbury 0
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Hornchurch 3
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Hashtag 2
Soham 1
TBD -
Braintree -
FC Haverhill Rovers 0
Maldon & Tiptree 3
Grays 3
Potton United 1
Haringey Borough 5
Tunbridge Wells 1
Chertsey Town 1
Leatherhead 0
Ashford United 1
Bracknell Town 4
Frimley Green 1
Marlow 2
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Haywards Heath 0
Hanwell Town 1
Hartley Wintney 5
Erith & Belvedere 0
Barking 6
Dunstable Town 1
Kings Langley 2
FC Clacton 1
Leighton Town 4
Mildenhall 0
Leiston 5
Biggleswade Town 1
Chasetown 2
Basford Utd. 1
TBD -
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barnet -
Weymouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cinderford Town 2
Royal Wootton 3
TBD -
Oxford City -
Tamworth 4
Stourbridge 3
Daventry 0
Evesham 2
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough -
Steyning Town 0
Sheppey United 5
TBD -
Welling -
Christchurch 2
Dorchester 1
TBD -
Gloucester City -
Little Common 0
Corinthian-Casuals 3
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cowes 0
Weston-super-Mare 5
Swindon Supermarine 3
Shepton Mallet 0
Frome Town 4
AFC Stoneham 1
Larkhall 3
Bitton 2
Saltash United 3
Cirencester 1
Fairford 1
Sholing 2
Sutton Common Rovers 1
Metropolitan Police 3
Staines 1
Walton Casuals 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torquay -
Dartford -
TBD -
TBD -
Slough Town -
Bath City -
TBD -
Winchester City 3
Clevedon 2
Havant & Waterlooville -
TBD -
Horsham FC 2
Kingstonian 1
Wingate & Finchley 1
Folkestone 4
Chatham 3
Southall FC 2
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barnstaple Town 2
Wimborne 3
Highworth 1
Melksham 2
Crawley Down Gatwick 1
Hendon 2
TBD -
Maidstone -
Yeovil -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Dover Ath. -
Welwyn Garden 1
Stortford 2
New Salamis FC 1
Brentwood 2
Royston Town 2
Wroxham 0
Stamford 4
Sudbury 0
St. Albans -
TBD -
Hitchin 3
Needham Market 0
Leek Town 1
Mickleover 2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0
Newark 5
Burnham FC 1
Northwood 0
Whyteleafe 2
Binfield 0
Concord Rangers -
TBD -
Potters 1
East Thurrock Utd 0
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
Hastings 1
Chesham 0
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
Merthyr Town -
Poole Town -
Chorley -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Whitby 1
Warrington Rylands 2
TBD -
York City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
Darlington FC 3
Prescot Cables 2
Mossley AFC 1
Tadcaster Albion 2
Cheshunt 1
Cambridge City 2
Hednesford 0
Halesowen 1
Buxton 0
Stafford 1
Gosport Borough 1
Hereford 3
Stalybridge 2
Longridge Town 3
Skelmersdale 2
Lancaster 1
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Peterborough Sports 4
Stansted FC 2
Leamington 0
Banbury 1
Bury Town 4
Waltham Abbey 1
Nuneaton 2
Stratford 1
Southport 2
Morpeth 1
Ashton United 0
South Shields 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Ilkeston 4
Hanley Town 1
Alvechurch 3
Kidderminster 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Curzon Ashton 1
United of Manchester 2
Coalville Town 1
Alfreton 2
Guiseley 4
Atherton Collieries 0
Grantham Town 0
Matlock 1
Brackley 3
Billericay 2
Kettering 2
Chelmsford 0
Marske United 6
Consett 0
Whitley Bay 2
Blyth Spartans 4
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Notts County -
Stockport County -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chesterfield -
Farsley 2
Radcliffe 1
Hyde 2
AFC Fylde 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Worksop 2
Chester 3
Bradford PA 1
Spennymoor 3
Runcorn Linnets 1
Marine 2
Nantwich 1
Barwell 0
Maidenhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harrow Borough 1
Cray Valley 5
Brantham 0
Aveley 3
Bedfont Sports 2
Carshalton 0
Canvey Island 3
Biggleswade FC 2
Kidlington 1
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Moneyfields 2
Cray Wanderers 6
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hayes & Yeading 5
Bognor Regis 0
Chipstead 1
East Grinstead Town 0
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromley -
Chichester City 2
Risborough Rangers 1
Farnborough 0
Tonbridge 1
Tiverton 3
Taunton Town 5
Truro 4
Hungerford 0
Boston United 4
AFC Mansfield 2
AFC Dunstable 1
Hemel Hempstead 2
Corinthian 0
Hampton & Richmond 1
Walthamstow FC 0
Hornchurch 2
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Hashtag 1
Braintree 2
Maldon & Tiptree 3
Grays 2
Haringey Borough 2
Chertsey Town 0
Bracknell Town 3
Marlow 2
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hanwell Town 3
Hartley Wintney 5
Barking 3
Kings Langley 2
Leighton Town 1
Leiston 2
Chasetown 1
Telford 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barnet -
Weymouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Royal Wootton 1
Oxford City 2
Tamworth 3
Evesham 1
Dorking Wanderers 3
Eastbourne Borough 4
Sheppey United 2
Welling 0
Christchurch 2
Gloucester City 1
Corinthian-Casuals 2
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare 3
Swindon Supermarine 2
Frome Town 1
Larkhall 2
Saltash United 1
Sholing 3
Metropolitan Police 1
Walton Casuals 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torquay -
Dartford 0
Slough Town 1
Bath City 3
Winchester City 2
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Horsham FC 1
Folkestone 0
Chatham 3
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wimborne 1
Melksham 0
Hendon 0
Maidstone 1
Yeovil -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Stortford 1
Brentwood 0
Royston Town 3
Stamford 2
St. Albans 5
Hitchin 0
Mickleover 4
Newark 1
Burnham FC 1
Whyteleafe 3
Concord Rangers 2
Potters 1
Ebbsfleet 3
Hastings 2
Chippenham Town 3
Poole Town 2
Chorley 2
Gateshead 1
Warrington Rylands 0
York City 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Darlington FC 6
Tadcaster Albion 1
Cambridge City 2
Halesowen 0
Stafford 3
Hereford 1
Longridge Town 0
Skelmersdale 1
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Peterborough Sports 1
Banbury 2
Bury Town 2
Nuneaton 0
Southport 1
South Shields 2
TBD -
Halifax -
Ilkeston 1
Alvechurch 0
TBD -
Hartlepool -
United of Manchester -
Alfreton -
Guiseley 2
Matlock 0
Brackley -
Kettering -
Marske United 1
Blyth Spartans 0
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
TBD -
Notts County -
Stockport County -
TBD -
TBD -
Chesterfield -
Farsley 1
AFC Fylde 3
TBD -
Altrincham -
Chester 3
Spennymoor 1
Marine 4
Nantwich 1
Maidenhead -
TBD -
Cray Valley 2
Aveley 0
Bedfont Sports 0
Canvey Island 2
Bristol Manor Farm 3
Cray Wanderers 4
Wealdstone -
TBD -
Hayes & Yeading 1
Chipstead 0
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromley -
Chichester City 1
Tonbridge 2
Taunton Town 4
Truro 2
Boston United -
Hemel Hempstead -
Hampton & Richmond 3
Hornchurch 2
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Braintree 0
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Haringey Borough 5
Bracknell Town 1
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
Hartley Wintney 3
Barking 1
Leiston 1
Telford 0
TBD -
Barnet -
Weymouth -
TBD -
Oxford City 6
Tamworth 1
Eastbourne Borough 3
Sheppey United 1
Christchurch 1
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Eastleigh -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare 6
Larkhall 0
Sholing 5
Walton Casuals 2
TBD -
Torquay -
Slough Town 0
Bath City 1
Havant & Waterlooville 4
Chatham 1
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
Wimborne 3
Maidstone 2
Yeovil -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Stortford 3
Royston Town 0
St. Albans 2
Mickleover 1
Whyteleafe 1
Concord Rangers 2
Ebbsfleet 1
Chippenham Town 2
Chorley 1
York City 0
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Darlington FC 2
Cambridge City 0
Stafford 1
Skelmersdale 4
Solihull Moors 4
Wrexham 0
Banbury 2
Bury Town 1
South Shields 2
Halifax 0
Ilkeston 0
Hartlepool 6
United of Manchester 2
Guiseley 1
Brackley 5
Marske United 1
King’s Lynn -
Notts County -
Stockport County 4
Chesterfield 0
AFC Fylde 2
Altrincham 1
Chester 0
Marine 1
Maidenhead 2
Cray Valley 3
Canvey Island 3
Cray Wanderers 2
Wealdstone 0
Hayes & Yeading 2
Sutton 0
Bromley 1
Tonbridge 5
Taunton Town 0
Hemel Hempstead 0
Hampton & Richmond 1
Aldershot 1
Woking 2
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Haringey Borough 0
Dagenham & Red. 1
Hartley Wintney 0
Leiston 2
Barnet 3
Weymouth 2
Oxford City 3
Eastbourne Borough 1
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Eastleigh 3
Weston-super-Mare 1
Sholing 0
Torquay 2
Bath City 0
Havant & Waterlooville 3
Boreham Wood 2
Wimborne 0
Yeovil 4
Dover Ath. 3
Stortford 2
St. Albans 0
Concord Rangers 2
Chippenham Town 1
Chorley -
TBD -