Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2018/2019

Dereham

1 - 3

Kempston

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Kempston advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Dereham

15%

Draws

42%

Kempston

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dereham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence

Dereham have managed 1.3 goals a game lately — Kempston are scoring more at 1.52.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Kempston, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%

Dereham Clean Sheet 10%

Kempston Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dereham	Kempston
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	8	8
Draws	4	5
Losses	18	16
Goals Scored	1.3	1.52
Goals Conceded	2.07	2.1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2022 FA Trophy

Kempston vs Dereham

0:1

Oct 13, 2018 FA Trophy

Dereham vs Kempston

1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dereham 34 / 100

Kempston 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dereham Kempston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kempston Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dereham scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Kempston conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Kempston registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dereham VS Kempston

1.25 Goals Scored 1.63

2.63 Goals Conceded 2.25

63% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dereham

(Home)

02 Sept

Ware

3 : 2

Dereham

24 Sept

Dereham

0 : 1

Spalding United

13 Sept

Kempston

0 : 1

Dereham

03 Sept

Dereham

0 : 1

Biggleswade Town

01 Jul

Dereham

0 : 4

Norwich

Page 1 of 6

Kempston

(Away)

09 Sept

Leighton Town

3 : 1

Kempston

13 Sept

Kempston

0 : 1

Dereham

03 Sept

Kempston

1 : 2

Bedford

25 Jul

Crawley Green

2 : 3

Kempston

20 Jul

Wellingborough

3 : 2

Kempston

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

Quarter-finals

Basford Utd. -

TBD -

Peterborough Sports 2

Cambridge City 4

Rushall -

TBD -

Stafford -

Stamford 1

Belper Town 0

Loughborough Dynamo 2

Leek Town 5

Stourbridge -

TBD -

Kettering -

Stalybridge -

TBD -

Nantwich -

Buxton -

TBD -

King’s Lynn -

Kidsgrove Athletic 0

FC Wisbech Town 3

Corby 2

Yaxley 3

Frickley 3

Skelmersdale 1

Trafford 1

Ramsbottom Utd 2

AFC Mansfield 2

Soham 1

TBD -

Hednesford -

Pickering Town 3

Stocksbridge 0

Tadcaster Albion 1

Droylsden 3

Neots -

TBD -

Matlock -

Barwell -

TBD -

Coalville Town -

Lancaster -

TBD -

Marine -

Clitheroe 3

Pontefract Collieries 2

Colwyn Bay 0

Ossett United 6

Newcastle Town 2

Gresley 1

Lincoln Utd. 1

Chasetown 2

Scarborough Athletic -

TBD -

Workington -

Marske United 4

Atherton Collieries 3

Radcliffe 2

Cleethorpes 3

Gainsborough -

TBD -

Tamworth -

Halesowen -

TBD -

Grantham Town -

Warrington Town -

TBD -

Kendal 1

Prescot Cables 5

Alvechurch -

TBD -

Stratford -

Redditch -

TBD -

Mickleover -

Witton Albion -

TBD -

Whitby -

St Ives Town -

TBD -

AFC Rushden & Diamonds -

Farsley -

TBD -

Morpeth 3

Brighouse Town 4

Bedworth United -

TBD -

Spalding United 1

Carlton Town 4

South Shields -

TBD -

North Ferriby United -

Bamber Bridge -

TBD -

Hyde -

Brightlingsea -

TBD -

Cray Wanderers 0

Canvey Island 2

Ramsgate 2

Phoenix Sports 1

TBD -

Hornchurch -

Lewes -

TBD -

Westfield 2

Ashford Town 3

Farnborough -

TBD -

Merthyr Town -

Chipstead 2

Welwyn Garden 1

South Park 1

Berkhamsted Town 5

Kingstonian -

TBD -

Tilbury 1

Bedford 4

Dorking Wanderers -

TBD -

Grays 2

Sevenoaks 4

Whyteleafe 4

Hastings 2

TBD -

Tonbridge -

Hendon -

TBD -

Staines -

Harrow Borough -

TBD -

Biggleswade Town -

Basingstoke -

TBD -

Wimborne -

Lowestoft -

TBD -

Enfield Town -

Royston Town -

TBD -

Chalfont St Peter 0

Maldon & Tiptree 2

Bristol Manor Farm 1

Paulton Rovers 0

Larkhall 0

Thame United 1

Horsham FC 3

Ware 1

TBD -

Corinthian-Casuals -

Margate -

TBD -

Potters -

Brentwood 4

Marlow 1

Bedfont Sports 1

Whitstable Town 4

Frome Town -

TBD -

Poole Town -

Herne Bay 2

Aylesbury Vale 1

AFC Dunstable 0

FC Witham Town 1

Kings Langley -

TBD -

Needham Market -

Leiston -

TBD -

Hanwell Town 1

VCD Athletic 3

Thatcham 2

Cirencester 0

Slimbridge 2

Melksham 3

Salisbury -

TBD -

Barnstaple Town 1

Fleet Town 2

East Grinstead Town 1

Great Wakering 0

TBD -

Merstham -

Swindon Supermarine -

TBD -

Banbury -

Hitchin -

TBD -

Barking 0

Hayes & Yeading 1

Metropolitan Police -

TBD -

Carshalton -

Whitehawk -

TBD -

Harlow -

Weymouth -

TBD -

Taunton Town -

Cinderford Town 5

Moneyfields 0

Bideford 2

Street 3

Yate 1

Blackfield & Langley 0

TBD -

Dorchester -

Gosport Borough -

TBD -

North Leigh 2

AFC Totton 6

Aveley 2

Basildon 1

Northwood 0

Dunstable Town 2

Kempston 3

Dereham 1

TBD -

Beaconsfield Town -

Burgess Hill -

TBD -

Worthing FC -

Haringey Borough -

TBD -

Chesham -

Walton Casuals -

TBD -

Three Bridges 0

Molesey 1

Bracknell Town 3

Haywards Heath 2

TBD -

Bognor Regis -

Folkestone -

TBD -

Leatherhead -

Didcot 2

Hertford Town 1

Kidlington 0

Mangotsfield 3

Greenwich Borough 4

Egham Town 1

Aylesbury United 2

Mildenhall 3

Hythe 2

Romania 0

TBD -

Stortford -

Hartley Wintney -

TBD -

Tiverton -

Sittingbourne 2

Faversham 0

TBD -

Wingate & Finchley -

TBD -

Semi-finals

Basford Utd. 2

Cambridge City 1

Rushall 1

Stafford 2

Stamford 1

Leek Town 0

Stourbridge 0

Kettering 2

Stalybridge 1

Nantwich 0

Buxton 5

King’s Lynn 4

FC Wisbech Town 1

Yaxley 3

Frickley 0

Ramsbottom Utd 3

AFC Mansfield 2

Hednesford 1

Pickering Town 5

Droylsden 4

Neots 1

Matlock 0

Barwell 4

Coalville Town 3

Lancaster 2

Marine 0

Clitheroe 1

Ossett United 2

Newcastle Town 5

Chasetown 2

Scarborough Athletic 0

Workington 1

Marske United 2

Cleethorpes 0

Gainsborough 0

Tamworth 3

Halesowen 4

Grantham Town 0

Warrington Town 0

Prescot Cables 1

Alvechurch 1

Stratford 4

Redditch 0

Mickleover 1

Witton Albion 1

Whitby 0

St Ives Town 1

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2

Farsley 4

Brighouse Town 1

Bedworth United 0

Carlton Town 1

South Shields 4

North Ferriby United 0

Bamber Bridge 0

Hyde 3

Brightlingsea 1

Canvey Island 0

Ramsgate 0

Hornchurch 6

Lewes 2

Ashford Town 1

Farnborough 2

Merthyr Town 3

Chipstead 2

Berkhamsted Town 1

Kingstonian 3

Bedford 4

Dorking Wanderers 2

Sevenoaks 1

Whyteleafe 1

Tonbridge 2

Hendon 2

Staines 1

Harrow Borough 1

Biggleswade Town 2

Basingstoke 4

Wimborne 2

Lowestoft 0

Enfield Town 1

Royston Town 3

Maldon & Tiptree 0

Bristol Manor Farm 2

Thame United 4

Horsham FC 3

Corinthian-Casuals 0

Margate 1

Potters 2

Brentwood 3

Whitstable Town 1

Frome Town 1

Poole Town 2

Herne Bay 2

FC Witham Town 1

Kings Langley 0

Needham Market 2

Leiston 3

VCD Athletic 1

Thatcham 1

Melksham 2

Salisbury 3

Fleet Town 0

East Grinstead Town 0

Merstham 2

Swindon Supermarine 1

Banbury 4

Hitchin 0

Hayes & Yeading 1

Metropolitan Police 3

Carshalton 4

Whitehawk 2

Harlow 3

Weymouth 3

Taunton Town 1

Cinderford Town 3

Street 6

Yate 1

Dorchester 3

Gosport Borough 1

AFC Totton 2

Aveley 1

Dunstable Town 0

Kempston 2

Beaconsfield Town 4

Burgess Hill 2

Worthing FC 3

Haringey Borough 3

Chesham 4

Walton Casuals 1

Molesey 0

Bracknell Town 4

Bognor Regis 5

Folkestone 5

Leatherhead 1

Didcot 5

Mangotsfield 3

Greenwich Borough 4

Mildenhall 2

Hythe 1

Stortford 2

Hartley Wintney 2

Tiverton 6

Sittingbourne 1

Wingate & Finchley 2

TBD -

Stage 6

TBD -

Stage 5

TBD -

Stage 4

TBD -

Stage 3

TBD -

Stage 2

TBD -

Stage 1

TBD -

Final

Basford Utd. 4

Stafford 0

Stamford 1

Kettering 0

Stalybridge 2

Buxton 1

Yaxley 3

Ramsbottom Utd 7

AFC Mansfield 2

Pickering Town 4

Neots 0

Barwell 1

Lancaster 1

Ossett United 0

Newcastle Town 2

Workington 7

Marske United 2

Tamworth 0

Halesowen 3

Prescot Cables 2

Stratford 2

Mickleover 1

Witton Albion 2

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0

Farsley 4

Carlton Town 0

South Shields 2

Hyde 1

Brightlingsea 2

Hornchurch 1

Lewes 2

Merthyr Town 0

Chipstead 2

Bedford 4

Dorking Wanderers 1

Tonbridge 0

Hendon 1

Biggleswade Town 2

Basingstoke 2

Enfield Town 1

Royston Town 5

Thame United 2

Horsham FC 1

Potters 0

Brentwood 3

Poole Town 6

Herne Bay 0

Needham Market 1

Leiston 2

Melksham 1

Salisbury 2

Merstham 0

Banbury 0

Hayes & Yeading 2

Carshalton 3

Harlow 1

Weymouth 3

Street 2

Dorchester 3

AFC Totton 1

Aveley 1

Beaconsfield Town 2

Worthing FC 1

Chesham 0

Walton Casuals 2

Bognor Regis 0

Folkestone 3

Didcot 0

Greenwich Borough 1

Stortford 0

Tiverton 2

Wingate & Finchley 3

TBD -

Dereham vs Kempston

England

Dereham

Kempston

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Dereham

Kempston

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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