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Deren vs Hunters

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Khuyagtbaatar T.
64'
90' Event
Munkhbolor J.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Deren and Hunters finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Deren
15%
Draws
27%
Hunters
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Deren carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Deren's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Deren here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Deren Clean Sheet 10%
Hunters Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deren Hunters
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 17 13
Draws 4 3
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2.93 3.19
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Premier League
Hunters vs Deren
1:2
May 17, 2026 Premier League
Deren vs Hunters
1:1
Oct 14, 2025 Premier League
Hunters vs Deren
0:1
Jun 14, 2025 Premier League
Hunters vs Deren
0:4
Mar 16, 2025 Premier League
Deren vs Hunters
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deren Compare

Top Goalscorer Khuyagtbaatar T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Hunters Compare

Top Goalscorer Munkhbolor J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deren 65 / 100
Hunters 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deren Hunters

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deren Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deren went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Deren found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Hunters conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Deren VS Hunters
1.88 Goals Scored 4
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Deren

(Home)
27 Sept
Deren
5 : 2
Amtat FC
20 Sept
Ulaangom City FC
0 : 5
Deren
17 Sept
Deren
0 : 0
FC Ulaanbaatar
12 Sept
Hunters
1 : 2
Deren
06 Jul
FC Ulaanbaatar
2 : 3
Deren
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Hunters

(Away)
27 Sept
FC Ulaanbaatar
5 : 3
Hunters
17 Sept
Central Stallions
3 : 0
Hunters
12 Sept
Hunters
1 : 2
Deren
04 Jul
Ulaangom City FC
1 : 11
Hunters
28 Jun
Hunters
2 : 0
Khovd Western
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Ulaanbaatar 16 13 2 1 65:9 41
2 Central Stallions 16 12 3 1 54:14 39
3 Khangarid 16 10 3 3 59:19 33
4 Deren 16 9 3 4 57:16 30
5 Hunters 16 7 3 6 44:27 24
6 Khovd Western 16 5 3 8 29:36 18
7 Khovd 16 4 0 12 28:73 12
8 Khoromkhon 16 2 0 14 27:86 6
9 Ulaangom City FC 16 1 1 14 16:99 4
10 Falcons 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)