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Dergview vs Ards

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2023/2024
Dergview Logo

Dergview

2 - 2
FT
Ards Logo

Ards

Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Walsh M.
45' Event
Dougan C.
56' Event
Hunter R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NIFL Championship 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Dergview
15%
Draws
73%
Ards
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ards

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ards lately — more wins on the board than Dergview.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Ards taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship 2023/2024 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Dergview Clean Sheet 10%
Ards Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dergview Ards
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 2.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2024 NIFL Championship
Dergview vs Ards
2:2
Mar 23, 2024 NIFL Championship
Ards vs Dergview
2:0
Nov 4, 2023 NIFL Championship
Dergview vs Ards
0:3
Sep 16, 2023 NIFL Championship
Ards vs Dergview
4:2
Feb 28, 2023 NIFL Championship
Dergview vs Ards
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dergview Compare

Top Goalscorer Walsh M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McLaughlin C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.3

Ards Compare

Top Goalscorer Dougan C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hunter R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.91
Avg xA / game 1.17

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dergview 10 / 100
Ards 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dergview Ards

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Dergview's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ards's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Difficult form: Ards registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dergview VS Ards
0.33 Goals Scored 1.88
2.33 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dergview

(Home)
01 Aug
Dergview
1 : 1
Bangor FC
18 Jul
Dergview
0 : 3
Dungannon
09 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 0
Dergview
22 Nov
Lisburn Rangers
5 : 4
Dergview
07 Oct
Dergview
3 : 7
Larne
Page 1 of 6

Ards

(Away)
08 Aug
Glenavon
1 : 3
Ards
28 Jul
Carrick Rangers
1 : 0
Ards
16 Jul
Bangor FC
2 : 0
Ards
25 Apr
Warrenpoint
0 : 1
Ards
18 Apr
Institute
3 : 1
Ards
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Ballyclare 38 18 7 13 73:60 61
8 Newington FC 38 16 4 18 65:68 52
9 Ballinamallard 38 15 6 17 51:51 51
10 Ards 38 9 10 19 60:69 37
11 Dergview 38 6 9 23 41:79 27
12 Knockbreda 38 5 3 30 34:100 18
Relegation - NIFL Championship 2023/2024 (Relegation)