Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
O'Connor T.
27'
27'
Moore K.
31'
31'
Frazer S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-7. This leg finished 3-7.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Larne
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Larne lately — more wins on the board than Dergview.
- Win probability leans Larne's way, sitting at 90%.
- Larne arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Larne, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Dergview Clean Sheet 10%
Larne Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dergview | Larne |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 4 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 18 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.29 | 2.10 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2025 Irish League Cup
Dergview vs Larne
3:7
Dec 1, 2018 NIFL Championship
Dergview vs Larne
1:1
Oct 13, 2018 NIFL Championship
Larne vs Dergview
2:0
Apr 24, 2018 NIFL Championship
Dergview vs Larne
1:0
Apr 21, 2018 NIFL Championship
Larne vs Dergview
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dergview Compare
Top Goalscorer Frazer S.
1 Goals Assists Leader McGavigan D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.22
Avg xA / game 0.14
Larne Compare
Top Goalscorer Moore K.
3 Goals Assists Leader O'Connor T.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.91
Avg xA / game 1.17
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dergview 10 / 100
Larne 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dergview Larne
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Larne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Attacking prowess: Dergview scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Larne let in goals in 50% of their last 28 matches.
Solid form: Dergview remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Dergview VS Larne
0.33 Goals Scored 1.88
2.33 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 38%
67% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Dergview
(Home) 01 Aug
Dergview
1 : 1 Bangor FC
18 Jul
Dergview
0 : 3 Dungannon
09 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 0 Dergview
22 Nov
Lisburn Rangers
5 : 4 Dergview
07 Oct
Dergview
3 : 7 Larne
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Dergview
1 : 1 Bangor FC
18 Jul
Dergview
0 : 3 Dungannon
07 Oct
Dergview
3 : 7 Larne
16 Aug
Dergview
3 : 1 Rathfriland Rangers
13 Aug
Dergview
2 : 1 Knockbreda
Page 1 of 4
Larne
(Away) 20 Aug
Lincoln Red Imps
0 : 2 Larne
15 Aug
Coleraine
0 : 0 Larne
11 Aug
Iberia 1999
2 : 1 Larne
04 Aug
Larne
0 : 0 Iberia 1999
29 Jul
Crvena zvezda
5 : 0 Larne
Page 1 of 6
20 Aug
Lincoln Red Imps
0 : 2 Larne
15 Aug
Coleraine
0 : 0 Larne
11 Aug
Iberia 1999
2 : 1 Larne
29 Jul
Crvena zvezda
5 : 0 Larne
07 Jul
Tre Fiori
0 : 1 Larne
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Crusaders -
TBD -
Oxford Sunnyside 1
Ballymacash 5
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Ballyclare 1
Coagh Utd 2
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Strabane Athletic -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Moyola 5
Portstewart 3
TBD -
Annagh -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Newry City 3
Knockbreda 0
TBD -
Portadown -
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Newington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Dergview 3
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Larne -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery 3
Banbridge 2
1/16-finals
Institute 0
Glentoran 1
Crusaders 3
Ballymacash 1
Cliftonville 4
Coagh Utd 1
Loughgall 2
Strabane Athletic 3
Ards 1
Dungannon 2
Moyola 3
Annagh 0
Dollingstown 0
Coleraine 8
Armagh 3
Carrick Rangers 2
Newry City 1
Portadown 0
Warrenpoint 0
Glenavon 2
Harland & Wolff 6
Dundela 0
Linfield 2
Queens University 0
Ballymena 1
Ballinamallard 0
Newington FC 3
Limavady 1
Dergview 3
Larne 7
Bangor FC 4
Lisburn Distillery 1
1/8-finals
Glentoran 2
Crusaders 1
Cliftonville 5
Strabane Athletic 2
Dungannon 0
Moyola 1
Coleraine 7
Armagh 1
Newry City 1
Glenavon 0
Harland & Wolff 3
Linfield 6
Ballymena 3
Newington FC 0
Larne 2
Bangor FC 1
Quarter-finals
Glentoran 2
Cliftonville 1
Moyola 0
Coleraine 2
Newry City 2
Linfield 3
Ballymena 2
Larne 0
Semi-finals
Glentoran 2
Coleraine 1
Linfield 1
Ballymena 0
Final
Glentoran 0
Linfield 1
