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Dergview vs Newington FC

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Gibson J.
87' Event
McMullan F.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NIFL Championship 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Dergview
22%
Draws
60%
Newington FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Newington FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Dergview haven't matched Newington FC's recent run of results.
  • Newington FC are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship 2023/2024 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Dergview Clean Sheet 10%
Newington FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dergview Newington FC
Matches Played 29 38
Wins 4 20
Draws 7 5
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0 2.5
Goals Conceded 2 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2024 NIFL Championship
Dergview vs Newington FC
1:1
Mar 9, 2024 NIFL Championship
Newington FC vs Dergview
3:0
Oct 21, 2023 NIFL Championship
Dergview vs Newington FC
2:1
Sep 9, 2023 NIFL Championship
Newington FC vs Dergview
3:2
Apr 29, 2023 NIFL Championship
Newington FC vs Dergview
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dergview Compare

Top Goalscorer Gibson J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Newington FC Compare

Top Goalscorer McMullan F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dergview 18 / 100
Newington FC 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dergview Newington FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Dergview scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Newington FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 38 matches.

Newington FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dergview VS Newington FC
0 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dergview

(Home)
18 Jul
Dergview
0 : 3
Dungannon
09 Jul
Harland & Wolff
3 : 0
Dergview
22 Nov
Lisburn Rangers
5 : 4
Dergview
07 Oct
Dergview
3 : 7
Larne
16 Aug
Dergview
3 : 1
Rathfriland Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Newington FC

(Away)
18 Jul
Cliftonville
1 : 0
Newington FC
11 Jul
Ballymacash
1 : 2
Newington FC
04 Jul
Bangor FC
2 : 1
Newington FC
24 Apr
Newington FC
2 : 1
Loughgall
18 Apr
Newington FC
2 : 4
Harland & Wolff
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
7Ballyclare381871373:6061
8Newington FC381641865:6852
9Ballinamallard381561751:5151
10Ards389101960:6937
11Dergview38692341:7927
12Knockbreda38533034:10018
Relegation - NIFL Championship 2023/2024 (Relegation)