Sport Picks

Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017

Kirikhanspor

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Derincespor play Kirikhanspor in the TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Derincespor averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Kirikhanspor averaged 1 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. In past meetings, Derincespor won 0, Kirikhanspor won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 29, 2017 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Derincespor and 1.05 for Kirikhanspor. This points to a Kirikhanspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Derincespor

21%

Draws

52%

Kirikhanspor

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Kirikhanspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

Derincespor picked up more points recently compared to Kirikhanspor.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 67%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Derincespor Clean Sheet 22%

Kirikhanspor Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 60%

Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Derincespor	Kirikhanspor
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	4	9
Draws	9	4
Losses	17	19
Goals Scored	0.97	1
Goals Conceded	1.83	1.66

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2017 3. Lig Group 2

Derincespor vs Kirikhanspor

Possession: 49% - 44% Cards: 0 - 2

0:1

Nov 16, 2016 3. Lig Group 2

Kirikhanspor vs Derincespor

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 4 - 0

4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derincespor Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Kirikhanspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozaltun A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derincespor 29 / 100

Kirikhanspor 49 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Derincespor Kirikhanspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kirikhanspor or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +42%

5.26

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Derincespor attacking → ← attacking Kirikhanspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derincespor scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Kirikhanspor let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Derincespor went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Kirikhanspor lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 31

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bodrumspor	34	19	8	7	59:31	65
2	Erbaaspor	34	16	12	6	48:29	60
3	Silivrispor	34	16	10	8	34:25	58
4	Manisa FK	34	15	13	6	59:37	58
5	Catalca Spor	34	15	10	9	42:33	55
6	Duzcespor	34	14	12	8	55:46	54
7	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi	34	15	8	11	46:39	53
8	Kirikhanspor	34	12	11	11	36:39	47
9	Kemerspor 2003	34	11	12	11	52:45	45
10	Yomraspor	34	10	14	10	28:29	44
11	Bucaspor 1928	34	11	10	13	41:46	43
12	Batman Petrolspor	34	11	10	13	38:38	43
13	Yesil Bursa	34	11	8	15	40:35	41
14	Dardanelspor	34	11	8	15	42:54	41
15	Pazarspor	34	11	6	17	34:46	39
16	Dersim Spor	34	9	6	19	33:54	33
17	Derincespor	34	5	11	18	31:59	26
18	Kirikkale FK	34	4	11	19	28:61	23