Sport Picks
Derriaghy vs 18th Newtownabbey Old Boys
Northern Ireland
Irish Cup 2013/2014 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-0, with Derriaghy advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Derriaghy
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Derriaghy come out ahead of 18th Newtownabbey Old Boys on wins alone.
- Model gives Derriaghy a 36% chance of winning this.
- Derriaghy have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Derriaghy, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Derriaghy Clean Sheet 10%
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derriaghy | 18th Newtownabbey Old Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 22 | 12 |
| Wins | 11 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.25 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.50 | 2.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 9, 2013 Irish Cup
Derriaghy vs 18th Newtownabbey Old Boys
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Derriaghy 34 / 100
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Derriaghy 18th Newtownabbey Old Boys
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Derriaghy found the back of the net in 95% of recent matches (22 games).
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys let in goals in 100% of their last 11 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Difficult form: 18th Newtownabbey Old Boys registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Derriaghy VS 18th Newtownabbey Old Boys
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Derriaghy
(Home) 25 Nov
Queens University
3 : 2 Derriaghy
17 Aug
Annagh
4 : 1 Derriaghy
18 Aug
Strabane Athletic
2 : 1 Derriaghy
30 Sept
Derriaghy
1 : 2 Shankill
19 Aug
Derriaghy
3 : 1 Bourneview Mill
Page 1 of 5
30 Sept
Derriaghy
1 : 2 Shankill
19 Aug
Derriaghy
3 : 1 Bourneview Mill
03 Dec
Derriaghy
2 : 4 Portstewart
05 Nov
Derriaghy
2 : 0 Valley Rangers
03 Oct
Derriaghy
1 : 6 Trojans
Page 1 of 3
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys
(Away) 02 Nov
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys
2 : 3 Coagh Utd
28 Sept
Tandragee
5 : 7 18th Newtownabbey Old Boys
18 Aug
Newtowne FC
6 : 3 18th Newtownabbey Old Boys
30 Sept
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys
1 : 2 U. U. Jordanstown
19 Aug
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys
3 : 2 Comber Rec
Page 1 of 3
28 Sept
Tandragee
5 : 7 18th Newtownabbey Old Boys
18 Aug
Newtowne FC
6 : 3 18th Newtownabbey Old Boys
05 Nov
Trojans
2 : 1 18th Newtownabbey Old Boys
22 Aug
Mossley FC
1 : 3 18th Newtownabbey Old Boys
09 Nov
Derriaghy
3 : 0 18th Newtownabbey Old Boys
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Ballymena-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Killymoon-
TBD-
TBD-
Harland & Wolff-
Dergview-
TBD-
Nortel0
Drumaness2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Linfield-
Coleraine-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cliftonville-
Moyola-
TBD-
TBD-
Annagh-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dungannon-
Bangor FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Knockbreda-
Ardglass5
Carniny Amateur & Youth3
TBD-
Glebe-
Chimney-
TBD-
TBD-
Wakehurst-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Warrenpoint-
Lisburn Distillery-
TBD-
TBD-
Institute-
Tobermore-
TBD-
TBD-
PSNI-
Limavady-
TBD-
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys0
Derriaghy3
Lurgan Celtic-
TBD-
TBD-
Queens University-
Glenavon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sirocco2
Rathfern Rangers1
TBD-
Sport & Leisure-
Strabane Athletic2
Crumlin United0
Bryansburn1
Lisburn Rangers3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballinamallard-
Armagh-
TBD-
TBD-
Loughgall-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ards-
Portadown-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Glentoran-
Ballyclare-
TBD-
TBD-
Larne-
Downshire Y.M.3
Shankill2
Immaculata0
Kilmore Rec1
Dundela-
TBD-
TBD-
Portstewart-
Coagh Utd-
TBD-
TBD-
Carrick Rangers-
Ballymoney-
TBD-
TBD-
Newington FC-
Rathfriland Rangers4
Bangor Swifts1
TBD-
Banbridge-
Crumlin Star2
Newbuildings1
Downpatrick0
Newry City1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Crusaders-
1/32-finals
Ballymena-
TBD-
Killymoon1
Harland & Wolff8
Dergview2
Drumaness0
TBD-
Linfield-
Coleraine-
TBD-
TBD-
Cliftonville-
Moyola2
Annagh0
TBD-
Dungannon-
Bangor FC5
Knockbreda2
Ardglass2
Glebe3
Chimney3
Wakehurst0
TBD-
Warrenpoint-
Lisburn Distillery2
Institute1
Tobermore1
PSNI2
Limavady2
Derriaghy1
Lurgan Celtic0
Queens University5
Glenavon-
TBD-
Sirocco1
Sport & Leisure2
Strabane Athletic2
Lisburn Rangers0
TBD-
Ballinamallard-
Armagh2
Loughgall0
TBD-
Ards-
Portadown-
TBD-
TBD-
Glentoran-
Ballyclare4
Larne1
Downshire Y.M.1
Kilmore Rec3
Dundela5
Portstewart2
Coagh Utd0
Carrick Rangers2
Ballymoney3
Newington FC1
Rathfriland Rangers2
Banbridge4
Crumlin Star4
Newry City1
TBD-
Crusaders-
1/16-finals
Ballymena3
Harland & Wolff2
Dergview0
Linfield5
Coleraine6
Cliftonville5
Moyola1
Dungannon5
Bangor FC7
Glebe1
Chimney0
Warrenpoint2
Lisburn Distillery2
PSNI0
Limavady0
Queens University1
Glenavon7
Sport & Leisure0
Strabane Athletic0
Ballinamallard1
Armagh5
Ards3
Portadown1
Glentoran3
Ballyclare3
Kilmore Rec0
Dundela2
Carrick Rangers3
Ballymoney1
Banbridge0
Crumlin Star1
Crusaders2
1/8-finals
Ballymena2
Linfield1
Coleraine2
Dungannon3
Bangor FC1
Warrenpoint0
Lisburn Distillery0
Queens University2
Glenavon3
Ballinamallard0
Armagh2
Glentoran3
Ballyclare2
Carrick Rangers1
Ballymoney0
Crusaders4
Quarter-finals
Ballymena4
Dungannon1
Bangor FC2
Queens University3
Glenavon2
Glentoran1
Ballyclare0
Crusaders5
Semi-finals
Ballymena3
Queens University0
Glenavon3
Crusaders1
Final
Ballymena1
Glenavon2
