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Derriaghy vs Wakehurst

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Derriaghy advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Derriaghy
20%
Draws
38%
Wakehurst
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Derriaghy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Derriaghy carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Derriaghy are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Derriaghy have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Derriaghy, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Derriaghy Clean Sheet 10%
Wakehurst Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derriaghy Wakehurst
Matches Played 22 31
Wins 11 10
Draws 1 1
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 2.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2014 Irish Cup
Derriaghy vs Wakehurst
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derriaghy 40 / 100
Wakehurst 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derriaghy Wakehurst

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derriaghy's goal record stands at 95% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Wakehurst's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Wakehurst lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Derriaghy VS Wakehurst
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Derriaghy

(Home)
25 Nov
Queens University
3 : 2
Derriaghy
17 Aug
Annagh
4 : 1
Derriaghy
18 Aug
Strabane Athletic
2 : 1
Derriaghy
30 Sept
Derriaghy
1 : 2
Shankill
19 Aug
Derriaghy
3 : 1
Bourneview Mill
Page 1 of 5

Wakehurst

(Away)
22 Nov
Wakehurst
2 : 4
Knockbreda
28 Sept
Ardstraw
4 : 1
Wakehurst
17 Aug
Wakehurst
3 : 1
Ards Rangers
29 Sept
Wakehurst
2 : 3
Fivemiletown
18 Aug
Oxford Stars
0 : 1
Wakehurst
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Brantwood 2
Drumaness 1
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tandragee 2
Banbridge Rangers 0
TBD -
Loughgall -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Foundry 6
St. Marys 1
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Newtowne FC 5
East Belfast 3
U. U. Jordanstown 0
Crumlin United 3
Shankill 2
Abbey Villa 1
TBD -
Armagh -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Bangor Old Boys 2
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Annagh -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Wakehurst -
TBD -
Oxford Stars 2
Derriaghy 4
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
Lisburn Rangers 2
Ards Rangers 7
Crumlin Star 2
Immaculata 0
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Newry City 4
Hanover 0
TBD -
Portstewart -
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Tobermore -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
1/32-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
Queens University 2
Newington FC 3
Brantwood 2
Coagh Utd 0
Lurgan Celtic 1
Bangor FC 2
Institute -
TBD -
Tandragee 2
Loughgall 6
Larne 1
Dergview 0
Foundry 1
Carrick Rangers 4
Glentoran -
TBD -
Banbridge 1
Ards 4
Newtowne FC 4
Crumlin United 1
Shankill 0
Armagh 2
Ballyclare 3
Donegal 2
Bangor Old Boys 0
Annagh 3
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Harland & Wolff 2
Dollingstown 0
Wakehurst 2
Derriaghy 3
Moyola 3
Glebe 2
TBD -
Glenavon -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure 2
Ards Rangers 6
Crumlin Star 1
Lisburn Distillery 0
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
Knockbreda 1
PSNI 2
Dundela 4
Ballymoney 1
Newry City 1
Portstewart 2
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Tobermore 3
Limavady 1
TBD -
Linfield -
1/16-finals
Crusaders 6
Newington FC 0
Brantwood 0
Bangor FC 4
Institute 5
Loughgall 1
Larne 1
Carrick Rangers 2
Glentoran 2
Ards 0
Newtowne FC 0
Armagh 3
Ballyclare 3
Annagh 1
Ballinamallard 2
Dungannon 4
Harland & Wolff 2
Derriaghy 0
Moyola 2
Glenavon 3
Cliftonville 6
Ards Rangers 0
Crumlin Star 0
Ballymena 4
Portadown 2
PSNI 1
Dundela 2
Portstewart 3
Warrenpoint 3
Coleraine 1
Tobermore 0
Linfield 2
1/8-finals
Crusaders 2
Bangor FC 0
Institute 1
Carrick Rangers 3
Glentoran 4
Armagh 1
Ballyclare 0
Dungannon 1
Harland & Wolff 2
Glenavon 0
Cliftonville 1
Ballymena 2
Portadown 2
Portstewart 0
Warrenpoint 0
Linfield 5
Quarter-finals
Crusaders 4
Carrick Rangers 1
Glentoran 3
Dungannon 0
Harland & Wolff 2
Ballymena 3
Portadown 3
Linfield 2
Semi-finals
Crusaders 0
Glentoran 1
Ballymena 1
Portadown 3
Final
Glentoran 1
Portadown 0