Sport Picks
Derry City vs Ballymun Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ireland
FAI Cup 2009 The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry 
AI Match Summary
Derry City in this FAI Cup 2009 tie, finishing 6-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
63%
20%
17%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Derry City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
63%
/ High Confidence
- Derry City have won more games recently than Ballymun Utd.
- Model gives Derry City a 63% chance of winning this.
- Derry City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Derry City, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Derry City Clean Sheet 18%
Ballymun Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derry City | Ballymun Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 6 |
| Wins | 11 | 1 |
| Draws | 9 | 1 |
| Losses | 9 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 12, 2009 FAI Cup
Derry City vs Ballymun Utd
6:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Derry City 85 / 100
Ballymun Utd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Derry City Ballymun Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Derry City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Derry City's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Ballymun Utd conceded in 83% of 6 recent games.
Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Derry City remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Derry City VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Derry City
(Home) 18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0 Galway United
14 Sept
Waterford
2 : 2 Derry City
11 Sept
Shelbourne
0 : 1 Derry City
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2 Dundalk
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3 Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Derry City
1 : 0 Galway United
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2 Dundalk
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3 Shamrock Rovers
07 Aug
Derry City
2 : 0 Sligo Rovers
30 Jul
Derry City
0 : 1 Rijeka
Page 1 of 3
Ballymun Utd
(Away) 29 Jul
Ballymun Utd
0 : 1 Annagh
30 Apr
Ballymun Utd
1 : 2 Killester Donnycarney
01 Apr
Ballymun Utd
1 : 2 Mayfield Utd
12 Jun
Derry City
6 : 0 Ballymun Utd
31 May
Ballymun Utd
3 : 0 Fanad United
Page 1 of 2
12 Jun
Derry City
6 : 0 Ballymun Utd
24 May
Fanad United
2 : 2 Ballymun Utd
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Sligo Rovers 4
Cork City 3
Ballymun Utd 0
Derry City 6
Dundalk 3
Mervue United 1
Mayfield Utd 1
Bohemians 8
St. Patricks 1
Limerick 0
Cherry Orchard 2
Monaghan United 6
Crumlin Utd 2
Shelbourne 1
Carrigaline Utd 0
Waterford 6
Bray 2
Bluebell Utd 1
Salthill 1
Tralee 2
Galway United 3
Finn Harps 0
Wexford 4
Longford 5
Shamrock Rovers 4
Drogheda 1
Arklow 1
UC Dublin 3
Athlone 2
Kildare County 1
Blarney Utd 0
Sporting Fingal 2
1/8-finals
Sligo Rovers 1
Derry City 0
Dundalk 0
Bohemians 1
St. Patricks 1
Monaghan United 0
Crumlin Utd 0
Waterford 2
Bray 2
Tralee 0
Galway United 0
Longford 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
UC Dublin 1
Athlone 1
Sporting Fingal 4
Quarter-finals
Sligo Rovers 2
Bohemians 1
St. Patricks 1
Waterford 3
Bray 2
Longford 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
Sporting Fingal 4
Semi-finals
Sligo Rovers 1
Waterford 0
Bray 2
Sporting Fingal 4
Final
Sligo Rovers 1
Sporting Fingal 2
