Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Derry City vs Drogheda

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Burney L.
28' Event
Dummigan C.
54'
Brennan R.

AI Match Summary

Derry City in this Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Derry City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Derry City
20%
Draws
23%
Drogheda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Derry City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Derry City lately — more wins on the board than Drogheda.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Derry City taking it.
  • Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Derry City Clean Sheet 19%
Drogheda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derry City Drogheda
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 8 6
Draws 11 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.52 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs Drogheda
2:0
May 8, 2026 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Derry City
1:0
Mar 20, 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs Drogheda
2:2
Sep 26, 2025 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Derry City
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 FAI Cup
Derry City vs Drogheda
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derry City Compare

Top Goalscorer Dummigan C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader O'Reilly A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Drogheda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derry City 40 / 100
Drogheda 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derry City Drogheda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derry City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derry City's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Drogheda let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Derry City went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Derry City VS Drogheda
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Derry City

(Home)
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2
Dundalk
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3
Shamrock Rovers
21 Aug
Bohemians
5 : 3
Derry City
14 Aug
UC Dublin
1 : 2
Derry City
07 Aug
Derry City
2 : 0
Sligo Rovers
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Drogheda

(Away)
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2
Galway United
28 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 3
Dundalk
21 Aug
Drogheda
0 : 2
St. Patricks
15 Aug
College Corinthians
0 : 3
Drogheda
07 Aug
Galway United
0 : 0
Drogheda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 29 16 8 5 46:27 56
2 St. Patricks 29 14 8 7 45:25 50
3 Bohemians 29 14 8 7 50:34 50
4 Dundalk 29 10 10 9 46:45 40
5 Shelbourne 28 8 12 8 37:39 36
6 Derry City 29 7 13 9 41:40 34
7 Galway United 28 8 10 10 36:42 34
8 Waterford 29 7 11 11 39:48 32
9 Drogheda 29 6 10 13 33:48 28
10 Sligo Rovers 29 5 8 16 23:48 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)