Sport Picks
Derry City vs Dundalk
Ireland
Premier Division The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium 
AI Match Summary
Derry City play Dundalk in the Premier Division. It looks like a close match. Recently, Derry City averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. Dundalk averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Derry City won 1, Dundalk won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 29, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Derry City and 1.25 for Dundalk. This points to a Dundalk double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Derry City picked up more points recently compared to Dundalk.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.25 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Derry City | Dundalk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Derry City Compare
Dundalk Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Derry City scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Dundalk let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Derry City went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Dundalk lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 40:22 | 50 |
| 2 | Bohemians | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 40:27 | 43 |
| 3 | St. Patricks | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 38:19 | 41 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 37:34 | 35 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35:35 | 34 |
| 6 | Derry City | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 32:31 | 29 |
| 7 | Galway United | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 29:37 | 24 |
| 8 | Drogheda | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 27:40 | 22 |
| 9 | Waterford | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 32:46 | 20 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 18:37 | 20 |