Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Derry City W vs Crusaders W

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Premiership Women The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Doherty C.
7' Event
McDaid M.
21' Event
Leah C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premiership Women matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Derry City W
6%
Draws
4%
Crusaders W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Derry City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Derry City W haven't matched Crusaders W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Derry City W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Premiership Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Derry City W Clean Sheet 10%
Crusaders W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derry City W Crusaders W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 2 2
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Crusaders W
3:3
May 8, 2026 Premiership Women
Crusaders W vs Derry City W
3:1
Oct 12, 2025 Premiership Women
Crusaders W vs Derry City W
0:3
Sep 5, 2025 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Crusaders W
3:1
May 9, 2025 Premiership Women
Crusaders W vs Derry City W
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derry City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Doherty C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Leah C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Crusaders W Compare

Top Goalscorer McDaid M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nelson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derry City W 83 / 100
Crusaders W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derry City W Crusaders W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crusaders W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Derry City W found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Derry City W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Derry City W VS Crusaders W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Linfield W751138:716
2Glentoran W651026:516
3Cliftonville W650126:715
4Lisburn Rangers W740314:1612
5Crusaders W832317:2711
6Derry City W821515:237
7Lisburn Ladies W81164:294
8Larne W80265:312