Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Derry City W vs Crusaders W

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Premiership Women The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry
Derry City W Logo

Derry City W

3 - 3
FT
Crusaders W Logo

Crusaders W

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Doherty C.
7' Event
McDaid M.
21' Event
Leah C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premiership Women matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Derry City W
15%
Draws
49%
Crusaders W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crusaders W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Crusaders W at 1.57 per game, Derry City W at 1.39.
  • Win probability leans Derry City W's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Premiership Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Derry City W Clean Sheet 13%
Crusaders W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derry City W Crusaders W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 1 4
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.39 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.29 3.46
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Crusaders W
3:3
May 8, 2026 Premiership Women
Crusaders W vs Derry City W
3:1
Oct 12, 2025 Premiership Women
Crusaders W vs Derry City W
0:3
Sep 5, 2025 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Crusaders W
3:1
May 9, 2025 Premiership Women
Crusaders W vs Derry City W
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derry City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Doherty C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Leah C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.66

Crusaders W Compare

Top Goalscorer McDaid M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nelson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derry City W 40 / 100
Crusaders W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derry City W Crusaders W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crusaders W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Derry City W found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Crusaders W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Derry City W VS Crusaders W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Derry City W

(Home)
04 Sept
Derry City W
0 : 4
Cliftonville W
26 Aug
Derry City W
1 : 0
Lisburn Ladies W
14 Aug
Derry City W
1 : 2
Linfield W
09 Aug
Derry City W
0 : 3
Lisburn Rangers W
31 Jul
Derry City W
0 : 1
Glentoran W
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Crusaders W

(Away)
04 Sept
Crusaders W
3 : 0
Larne W
28 Aug
Linfield W
7 : 1
Crusaders W
14 Aug
Crusaders W
1 : 1
Lisburn Ladies W
07 Aug
Glentoran W
5 : 1
Crusaders W
31 Jul
Cliftonville W
9 : 0
Crusaders W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cliftonville W 14 13 0 1 65:10 39
2 Glentoran W 14 11 1 2 55:14 34
3 Linfield W 14 9 1 4 60:22 28
4 Lisburn Rangers W 14 8 1 5 35:30 25
5 Crusaders W 14 4 4 6 25:51 16
6 Derry City W 14 4 1 9 24:33 13
7 Lisburn Ladies W 14 1 2 11 6:54 5
8 Larne W 14 0 2 12 7:63 2
Promotion - Premiership Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership Women (Relegation Group)