Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Derry City W vs Larne W

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Premiership Women The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
57' Event
58' Event

AI Match Summary

Derry City W in this Premiership Women matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Derry City W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Derry City W
15%
Draws
0%
Larne W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Derry City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Derry City W have won more games recently than Larne W.
  • Model gives Derry City W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premiership Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • History favors Derry City W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Derry City W Clean Sheet 20%
Larne W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derry City W Larne W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 1
Draws 2 3
Losses 18 25
Goals Scored 1.59 0.72
Goals Conceded 2.34 4.24
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Larne W
5:1
Jul 24, 2026 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Larne W
7:0
May 29, 2026 Premiership Women
Larne W vs Derry City W
1:6
Oct 1, 2025 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Larne W
1:0
Aug 15, 2025 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Larne W
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derry City W 85 / 100
Larne W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derry City W Larne W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derry City W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Larne W conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Larne W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Derry City W's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Derry City W VS Larne W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
2 Goals Conceded 4.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Derry City W

(Home)
25 Sept
Derry City W
5 : 1
Larne W
18 Sept
Derry City W
3 : 3
Lisburn Ladies W
04 Sept
Derry City W
0 : 4
Cliftonville W
26 Aug
Derry City W
1 : 0
Lisburn Ladies W
14 Aug
Derry City W
1 : 2
Linfield W
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Larne W

(Away)
25 Sept
Derry City W
5 : 1
Larne W
18 Sept
Crusaders W
3 : 2
Larne W
04 Sept
Crusaders W
3 : 0
Larne W
28 Aug
Lisburn Rangers W
5 : 1
Larne W
14 Aug
Larne W
1 : 7
Glentoran W
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