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Derry City W vs Lisburn Ladies W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Premiership Women The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Mcintyre R.

AI Match Summary

The Premiership Women game between Derry City W and Lisburn Ladies W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Derry City W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Derry City W
20%
Draws
7%
Lisburn Ladies W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Derry City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Lisburn Ladies W haven't matched Derry City W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Derry City W a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premiership Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Derry City W Clean Sheet 19%
Lisburn Ladies W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derry City W Lisburn Ladies W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 2 4
Losses 18 23
Goals Scored 1.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.33 3.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Lisburn Ladies W
3:3
Aug 26, 2026 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Lisburn Ladies W
1:0
May 22, 2026 Premiership Women
Lisburn Ladies W vs Derry City W
0:1
Sep 26, 2025 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Lisburn Ladies W
1:3
Jul 25, 2025 Premiership Women
Lisburn Ladies W vs Derry City W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derry City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mcintyre R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Lisburn Ladies W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derry City W 85 / 100
Lisburn Ladies W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derry City W Lisburn Ladies W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derry City W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lisburn Ladies W let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Derry City W's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Derry City W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Derry City W VS Lisburn Ladies W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 3.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Derry City W

(Home)
04 Oct
Crusaders W
2 : 3
Derry City W
25 Sept
Derry City W
5 : 1
Larne W
18 Sept
Derry City W
3 : 3
Lisburn Ladies W
04 Sept
Derry City W
0 : 4
Cliftonville W
26 Aug
Derry City W
1 : 0
Lisburn Ladies W
Page 1 of 6

Lisburn Ladies W

(Away)
04 Oct
Larne W
1 : 0
Lisburn Ladies W
25 Sept
Lisburn Ladies W
2 : 3
Crusaders W
18 Sept
Derry City W
3 : 3
Lisburn Ladies W
04 Sept
Lisburn Ladies W
0 : 4
Glentoran W
26 Aug
Derry City W
1 : 0
Lisburn Ladies W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cliftonville W 14 13 0 1 65:10 39
2 Glentoran W 14 11 1 2 55:14 34
3 Linfield W 14 9 1 4 60:22 28
4 Lisburn Rangers W 14 8 1 5 35:30 25
5 Crusaders W 14 4 4 6 25:51 16
6 Derry City W 14 4 1 9 24:33 13
7 Lisburn Ladies W 14 1 2 11 6:54 5
8 Larne W 14 0 2 12 7:63 2
Promotion - Premiership Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership Women (Relegation Group)