Sport Picks

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Derry City W vs Lisburn Rangers W

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Premiership Women The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry
Fri, Aug 7, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Derry City W host Lisburn Rangers W in the Premiership Women. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Lisburn Rangers W have shipped 2.25 goals a game lately, while Derry City W have conceded 2.25 and scored 2.75. Head-to-head, Derry City W have won 0 to Lisburn Rangers W's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on May 15, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 2.50 vs 1.88, favoring Lisburn Rangers W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Derry City W
28%
Draws
22%
Lisburn Rangers W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Derry City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Derry City W haven't matched Lisburn Rangers W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Derry City W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Premiership Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • Lisburn Rangers W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Derry City W Clean Sheet 10%
Lisburn Rangers W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derry City W Lisburn Rangers W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 1 1
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 2.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Premiership Women
Lisburn Rangers W vs Derry City W
3:2
Sep 12, 2025 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Lisburn Rangers W
0:1
Jul 4, 2025 Premiership Women
Lisburn Rangers W vs Derry City W
2:0
Aug 2, 2024 Premiership Women
Lisburn Rangers W vs Derry City W
6:1
May 5, 2024 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Lisburn Rangers W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derry City W 47 / 100
Lisburn Rangers W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derry City W Lisburn Rangers W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Derry City W scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Lisburn Rangers W has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Derry City W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Derry City W VS Lisburn Rangers W
2.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Derry City W

(Home)
24 Jul
Derry City W
7 : 0
Larne W
03 Jul
Derry City W
3 : 3
Crusaders W
28 Jun
Glentoran W
3 : 1
Derry City W
19 Jun
Cliftonville W
5 : 1
Derry City W
29 May
Larne W
1 : 6
Derry City W
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Lisburn Rangers W

(Away)
24 Jul
Crusaders W
2 : 2
Lisburn Rangers W
10 Jul
Cliftonville W
3 : 4
Lisburn Rangers W
03 Jul
Linfield W
3 : 0
Lisburn Rangers W
26 Jun
Lisburn Ladies W
0 : 3
Lisburn Rangers W
19 Jun
Larne W
0 : 3
Lisburn Rangers W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cliftonville W760133:718
2Linfield W751138:716
3Glentoran W651026:516
4Lisburn Rangers W841316:1813
5Crusaders W933319:2912
6Derry City W931522:2310
7Lisburn Ladies W91174:364
8Larne W90275:382
Promotion - Premiership Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership Women (Relegation Group)