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Derry City W vs Lisburn Rangers W Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Premiership Women 2025 The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Conway G.

AI Match Summary

The Premiership Women 2025 game between Derry City W and Lisburn Rangers W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lisburn Rangers W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Derry City W
15%
Draws
32%
Lisburn Rangers W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Derry City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Derry City W haven't matched Lisburn Rangers W's recent run of results.
  • Derry City W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premiership Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Lisburn Rangers W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Derry City W Clean Sheet 10%
Lisburn Rangers W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derry City W Lisburn Rangers W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 10 14
Draws 2 1
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.63 1.82
Goals Conceded 2.33 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Lisburn Rangers W
0:3
May 15, 2026 Premiership Women
Lisburn Rangers W vs Derry City W
3:2
Sep 12, 2025 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Lisburn Rangers W
0:1
Jul 4, 2025 Premiership Women
Lisburn Rangers W vs Derry City W
2:0
Aug 2, 2024 Premiership Women
Lisburn Rangers W vs Derry City W
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derry City W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Lisburn Rangers W Compare

Top Goalscorer Conway G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derry City W 83 / 100
Lisburn Rangers W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derry City W Lisburn Rangers W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derry City W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Derry City W scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Lisburn Rangers W let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Recent resilience: Derry City W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Derry City W VS Lisburn Rangers W
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Derry City W

(Home)
04 Oct
Crusaders W
2 : 3
Derry City W
25 Sept
Derry City W
5 : 1
Larne W
18 Sept
Derry City W
3 : 3
Lisburn Ladies W
04 Sept
Derry City W
0 : 4
Cliftonville W
26 Aug
Derry City W
1 : 0
Lisburn Ladies W
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Lisburn Rangers W

(Away)
04 Oct
Lisburn Rangers W
2 : 3
Linfield W
27 Sept
Glentoran W
4 : 0
Lisburn Rangers W
18 Sept
Cliftonville W
3 : 1
Lisburn Rangers W
04 Sept
Lisburn Rangers W
5 : 2
Linfield W
28 Aug
Lisburn Rangers W
5 : 1
Larne W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Glentoran W 14 13 0 1 57:10 39
2 Cliftonville W 14 12 1 1 42:6 37
3 Linfield W 14 10 1 3 59:19 31
4 Lisburn Rangers W 14 7 0 7 24:26 21
5 Crusaders W 14 6 0 8 24:37 18
6 Derry City W 14 4 0 10 17:35 12
7 Lisburn Ladies W 14 1 1 12 5:44 4
8 Larne W 14 1 1 12 10:61 4
Promotion - Premiership Women 2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premiership Women 2025 (Relegation Group)