Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Derry City W vs Lisburn Rangers W

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Premiership Women 2025 The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Conway G.

AI Match Summary

Derry City W host Lisburn Rangers W in the Premiership Women 2025. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Derry City W at 1.88 goals for, 2.5 against; Lisburn Rangers W at 1.75 for, 2.63 against. Head-to-head, Derry City W have won 0 to Lisburn Rangers W's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on May 15, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (2.25 xG vs 2.13) point toward Lisburn Rangers W. Lisburn Rangers W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Derry City W
20%
Draws
38%
Lisburn Rangers W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Derry City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Lisburn Rangers W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Derry City W.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Derry City W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premiership Women 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Derry City W Clean Sheet 10%
Lisburn Rangers W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derry City W Lisburn Rangers W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 14
Draws 2 1
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Premiership Women
Lisburn Rangers W vs Derry City W
3:2
Sep 12, 2025 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Lisburn Rangers W
0:1
Jul 4, 2025 Premiership Women
Lisburn Rangers W vs Derry City W
2:0
Aug 2, 2024 Premiership Women
Lisburn Rangers W vs Derry City W
6:1
May 5, 2024 Premiership Women
Derry City W vs Lisburn Rangers W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derry City W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Lisburn Rangers W Compare

Top Goalscorer Conway G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derry City W 40 / 100
Lisburn Rangers W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derry City W Lisburn Rangers W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derry City W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Lisburn Rangers W let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Derry City W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Lisburn Rangers W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Derry City W VS Lisburn Rangers W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Glentoran W14130157:1039
2Cliftonville W14121142:637
3Linfield W14101359:1931
4Lisburn Rangers W1470724:2621
5Crusaders W1460824:3718
6Derry City W14401017:3512
7Lisburn Ladies W1411125:444
8Larne W14111210:614