Sport Picks

Turkey

Turkish Cup

Adanaspor AS

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dersim Spor play Adanaspor AS in the Turkish Cup. Dersim Spor are favorites here. Recently, Dersim Spor averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Adanaspor AS averaged 0.43 goals scored and 4.73 conceded. In past meetings, Dersim Spor won 1, Adanaspor AS won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 3, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.35 for Dersim Spor and 0.68 for Adanaspor AS. This points to a Dersim Spor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Dersim Spor

15%

Draws

15%

Adanaspor AS

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dersim Spor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Dersim Spor picked up more points recently compared to Adanaspor AS.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.35 vs 0.68 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 75%

Over 3.5 Goals 45%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Dersim Spor Clean Sheet 28%

Adanaspor AS Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dersim Spor	Adanaspor AS
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	2
Draws	3	1
Losses	16	27
Goals Scored	1.1	0.43
Goals Conceded	2.03	4.73

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2025 Turkish Cup

Dersim Spor vs Adanaspor AS

Possession: 47% - 49% Cards: 2 - 4

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dersim Spor Compare

Top Goalscorer Yilmaz M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Kutlu A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Adanaspor AS Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23

Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dersim Spor 69 / 100

Adanaspor AS 16 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dersim Spor Adanaspor AS

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dersim Spor Win (1)

Secondary Pick Dersim Spor & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +12.7%

1.61

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.7%

1.45

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dersim Spor attacking → ← attacking Adanaspor AS

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dersim Spor scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Adanaspor AS let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Dersim Spor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Adanaspor AS lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 7

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.50