Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dersim Spor vs Catalca Spor

Turkey Turkey

TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Demir G.
44' Event
Bahran H.
77' Event
Sari M.

AI Match Summary

The TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017 game between Dersim Spor and Catalca Spor finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Catalca Spor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Dersim Spor
6%
Draws
90%
Catalca Spor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Catalca Spor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Catalca Spor haven't matched Dersim Spor's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Catalca Spor a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular TFF 3. Lig Group 2 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Catalca Spor here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Dersim Spor Clean Sheet 10%
Catalca Spor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dersim Spor Catalca Spor
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 11 9
Draws 3 12
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2017 3. Lig Group 2
Dersim Spor vs Catalca Spor
1:3
Dec 18, 2016 3. Lig Group 2
Catalca Spor vs Dersim Spor
2:1
Apr 2, 2016 3. Lig Group 3
Dersim Spor vs Catalca Spor
0:0
Nov 14, 2015 3. Lig Group 3
Catalca Spor vs Dersim Spor
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dersim Spor Compare

Top Goalscorer Sari M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Catalca Spor Compare

Top Goalscorer Demir G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bahran H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dersim Spor 10 / 100
Catalca Spor 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dersim Spor Catalca Spor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dersim Spor's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Catalca Spor let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Catalca Spor's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dersim Spor VS Catalca Spor
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dersim Spor

(Home)
28 Oct
Dersim Spor
0 : 3
Fethiyespor
17 Sept
Dersim Spor
2 : 0
Sanliurfaspor
03 Sept
Dersim Spor
3 : 0
Adanaspor AS
11 Sept
Dersim Spor
0 : 7
Adiyaman FK
14 Sept
Kelkit Bld.
3 : 0
Dersim Spor
Page 1 of 6

Catalca Spor

(Away)
27 Apr
Catalca Spor
1 : 2
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
21 Apr
Adana 01
3 : 1
Catalca Spor
14 Apr
Catalca Spor
0 : 2
Sebat Spor Kulubu
07 Apr
Cankaya FK
1 : 1
Catalca Spor
03 Apr
Catalca Spor
0 : 0
Sultanbeyli
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bodrumspor34198759:3165
2Erbaaspor341612648:2960
3Silivrispor341610834:2558
4Manisa FK341513659:3758
5Catalca Spor341510942:3355
6Duzcespor341412855:4654
7Beyoglu Yeni Carsi341581146:3953
8Kirikhanspor3412111136:3947
9Kemerspor 20033411121152:4545
10Yomraspor3410141028:2944
11Bucaspor 19283411101341:4643
12Batman Petrolspor3411101338:3843
13Yesil Bursa341181540:3541
14Dardanelspor341181542:5441
15Pazarspor341161734:4639
16Dersim Spor34961933:5433
17Derincespor345111831:5926
18Kirikkale FK344111928:6123
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - TFF 3. Lig Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)