Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Derthona FbC vs AS Biellese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Beltrame S.
79' Event
Pavan N.
83' Event
Naamad J.

AI Match Summary

AS Biellese in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored AS Biellese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Derthona FbC
33%
Draws
40%
AS Biellese
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: AS Biellese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • AS Biellese have won more games recently than Derthona FbC.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on AS Biellese taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Derthona FbC Clean Sheet 13%
AS Biellese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derthona FbC AS Biellese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.88 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs AS Biellese
0:3
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group A
AS Biellese vs Derthona FbC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derthona FbC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

AS Biellese Compare

Top Goalscorer Beltrame S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pavan N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derthona FbC 27 / 100
AS Biellese 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derthona FbC AS Biellese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derthona FbC's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Derthona FbC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

AS Biellese lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Derthona FbC VS AS Biellese
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Derthona FbC

(Home)
10 May
Derthona FbC
1 : 2
Gozzano
03 May
Saluzzo
1 : 1
Derthona FbC
26 Apr
Derthona FbC
0 : 0
Imperia Calcio
19 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 0
Derthona FbC
12 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
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AS Biellese

(Away)
09 May
AS Biellese
1 : 2
Varese FC
03 May
Vado
3 : 2
AS Biellese
26 Apr
AS Biellese
2 : 0
Gozzano
19 Apr
Ligorna
2 : 1
AS Biellese
12 Apr
AS Biellese
2 : 0
Sestri Levante
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vado34246469:2478
2Ligorna34219464:2672
3AS Biellese34169948:2957
4Varese FC341681043:4356
5Chisola341671144:3655
6Sestri Levante341591054:3454
7Sanremese3413101137:3049
8Valenzana341291333:4845
9Celle Varazze341281441:4744
10Saluzzo3411101348:4443
11Club Milano341261643:4942
12Imperia Calcio3410111336:4441
13Cairese349131229:3440
14Derthona FbC341171636:4640
15Gozzano349121337:4239
16Asti Calcio348111532:4235
17Lavagnese345121732:5227
18NovaRomentin34632526:8216
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)