Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group A

Derthona FbC

0 - 3

Celle Varazze

Our Tip

Match Events

Bortoletti M.

Melani A.

86'

Capra E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Celle Varazze in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Celle Varazze.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Derthona FbC

Draws

90%

Celle Varazze

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Celle Varazze

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Celle Varazze lately — more wins on the board than Derthona FbC.
Celle Varazze are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Derthona FbC Clean Sheet 19%

Celle Varazze Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Derthona FbC	Celle Varazze
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	11
Draws	7	8
Losses	14	11
Goals Scored	0.88	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group A

Derthona FbC vs Celle Varazze

Possession: 55% - 42% Cards: 1 - 3

0:3

Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group A

Celle Varazze vs Derthona FbC

Possession: 59% - 48% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derthona FbC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Celle Varazze Compare

Top Goalscorer Bortoletti M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Melani A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derthona FbC 10 / 100

Celle Varazze 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Derthona FbC Celle Varazze

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derthona FbC's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Celle Varazze let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Derthona FbC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Derthona FbC VS Celle Varazze

0.88 Goals Scored 1.13

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vado	34	24	6	4	69:24	78
2	Ligorna	34	21	9	4	64:26	72
3	AS Biellese	34	16	9	9	48:29	57
4	Varese FC	34	16	8	10	43:43	56
5	Chisola	34	16	7	11	44:36	55
6	Sestri Levante	34	15	9	10	54:34	54
7	Sanremese	34	13	10	11	37:30	49
8	Valenzana	34	12	9	13	33:48	45
9	Celle Varazze	34	12	8	14	41:47	44
10	Saluzzo	34	11	10	13	48:44	43
11	Club Milano	34	12	6	16	43:49	42
12	Imperia Calcio	34	10	11	13	36:44	41
13	Cairese	34	9	13	12	29:34	40
14	Derthona FbC	34	11	7	16	36:46	40
15	Gozzano	34	9	12	13	37:42	39
16	Asti Calcio	34	8	11	15	32:42	35
17	Lavagnese	34	5	12	17	32:52	27
18	NovaRomentin	34	6	3	25	26:82	16