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Derthona FbC vs Gozzano Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Sun, May 10, 2026
1 - 2
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Gemelli R.
10' Event
Masetti A.
Own Goal
102' Event
Carollo M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Gozzano advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Derthona FbC
30%
Draws
33%
Gozzano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Derthona FbC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Derthona FbC have managed 0.9 goals a game lately — Gozzano are scoring more at 1.07.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Derthona FbC taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Gozzano, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Derthona FbC Clean Sheet 68%
Gozzano Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derthona FbC Gozzano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Gozzano
1:2
Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Derthona FbC
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Gozzano
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Gozzano
0:1
Sep 28, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Derthona FbC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derthona FbC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Gozzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Gemelli R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carollo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derthona FbC 50 / 100
Gozzano 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derthona FbC Gozzano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derthona FbC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Derthona FbC scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Gozzano let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Derthona FbC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Derthona FbC VS Gozzano
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Derthona FbC

(Home)
04 Oct
Derthona FbC
1 : 3
Alessandria
27 Sept
Saluzzo
0 : 0
Derthona FbC
20 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 0
Millesimo
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3
Derthona FbC
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1
Imperia Calcio
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Gozzano

(Away)
04 Oct
AS Biellese
4 : 1
Gozzano
27 Sept
Gozzano
2 : 1
Sanremese
21 Sept
Fezzanese
0 : 2
Gozzano
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0
Gozzano
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Cairese 0
Asti Calcio 1
Derthona FbC 1
Gozzano 2