Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Derthona FbC vs Pinerolo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Gueye S.
52' Event
Rossi A.

AI Match Summary

Derthona FbC in this Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Derthona FbC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Derthona FbC
35%
Draws
26%
Pinerolo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Derthona FbC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Derthona FbC have won more games recently than Pinerolo.
  • Derthona FbC are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Derthona FbC Clean Sheet 68%
Pinerolo Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Derthona FbC Pinerolo
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 9 11
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.09 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Pinerolo
1:0
Sep 24, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Pinerolo vs Derthona FbC
0:0
Mar 5, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Pinerolo
0:0
Oct 30, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Pinerolo vs Derthona FbC
0:0
Feb 21, 2016 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Pinerolo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Derthona FbC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rossi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Pinerolo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Derthona FbC 68 / 100
Pinerolo 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Derthona FbC Pinerolo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derthona FbC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derthona FbC found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (35 games).

Pinerolo let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Derthona FbC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 0.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Derthona FbC VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Derthona FbC

(Home)
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1
Imperia Calcio
06 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 1
Derthona FbC
10 May
Derthona FbC
1 : 2
Gozzano
03 May
Saluzzo
1 : 1
Derthona FbC
26 Apr
Derthona FbC
0 : 0
Imperia Calcio
Page 1 of 7

Pinerolo

(Away)
12 May
AC Chieri
0 : 0
Pinerolo
05 May
Pinerolo
0 : 2
Alba
28 Apr
Sanremese
0 : 0
Pinerolo
21 Apr
Pinerolo
1 : 1
Ligorna
14 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 1
Pinerolo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alcione Milano 38 23 10 5 70:27 79
2 Chisola 38 21 9 8 64:37 72
3 Varese FC 38 18 12 8 49:33 66
4 Vado 38 17 14 7 51:28 65
5 NovaRomentin 38 18 11 9 58:38 65
6 Bra 38 18 11 9 47:30 65
7 Ligorna 38 17 12 9 44:37 63
8 Asti Calcio 38 16 11 11 42:33 59
9 Albenga 38 15 15 8 51:33 58
10 Sanremese 38 13 13 12 34:33 52
11 Fezzanese 38 14 9 15 42:50 51
12 Gozzano 38 10 15 13 35:38 45
13 Lavagnese 38 11 11 16 46:47 44
14 Vogherese 38 10 12 16 42:57 42
15 Derthona FbC 38 9 14 15 34:52 41
16 AC Chieri 38 8 15 15 39:52 39
17 Pinerolo 38 8 13 17 25:44 37
18 Alba 38 10 7 21 39:63 37
19 PDHA 38 5 7 26 25:63 22
20 Borgosesia Calcio 38 5 7 26 25:67 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)