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Desenzano Calvina vs Dolomiti Bellunesi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Comunale Gino Corioni, Ospitaletto
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
De Francesco A.
19'
Mondonico D.
36'
Gobetti N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A game between Desenzano Calvina and Dolomiti Bellunesi finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Desenzano Calvina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Desenzano Calvina
35%
Draws
13%
Dolomiti Bellunesi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Desenzano Calvina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Desenzano Calvina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Desenzano Calvina's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Desenzano Calvina Clean Sheet 68%
Dolomiti Bellunesi Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desenzano Calvina Dolomiti Bellunesi
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 10 8
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.55 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Desenzano Calvina vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Desenzano Calvina Compare

Top Goalscorer De Francesco A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Dolomiti Bellunesi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desenzano Calvina 77 / 100
Dolomiti Bellunesi 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desenzano Calvina Dolomiti Bellunesi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Desenzano Calvina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desenzano Calvina found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Dolomiti Bellunesi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Desenzano Calvina has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Desenzano Calvina VS Dolomiti Bellunesi
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Desenzano Calvina

(Home)
10 Oct
Desenzano Calvina
2 : 0
Dolomiti Bellunesi
03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2
Desenzano Calvina
26 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 0
Juventus U23
21 Sept
Treviso
0 : 0
Desenzano Calvina
17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3
Lecco
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Dolomiti Bellunesi

(Away)
10 Oct
Desenzano Calvina
2 : 0
Dolomiti Bellunesi
04 Oct
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2
Novara
27 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi
21 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2
Lumezzane
17 Sept
Renate
0 : 0
Dolomiti Bellunesi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 9 8 0 1 16:4 24
2 Union Brescia 9 5 4 0 16:6 19
3 Arzignano 9 5 2 2 14:10 17
4 Ospitaletto 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
5 Trento 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
6 Treviso 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
7 Desenzano Calvina 9 3 4 2 8:7 13
8 AlbinoLeffe 9 3 3 3 14:13 12
9 Alcione Milano 8 2 5 1 12:13 11
10 Lumezzane 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
11 Pergolettese 9 2 5 2 5:6 11
12 Dolomiti Bellunesi 9 2 4 3 7:9 10
13 Novara 9 2 3 4 8:12 9
14 Pro Vercelli 9 2 3 4 8:13 9
15 Lecco 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
16 Carpi 9 1 3 5 11:19 6
17 Folgore Caratese 8 1 3 4 9:12 6
18 Juventus U23 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
19 Giana Erminio 8 0 4 4 6:10 4
20 Renate 8 0 3 5 6:12 3
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)