Sport Picks
Desenzano Calvina vs Giana Erminio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie C - Group A 
AI Match Summary
Desenzano Calvina host Giana Erminio in the Serie C - Group A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Desenzano Calvina have averaged 1.1 scored and 0.55 conceded recently, against Giana Erminio's 1.07 scored and 1.37 conceded. Past meetings favor Desenzano Calvina slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.19 - 0.81) back Desenzano Calvina to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Desenzano Calvina come out ahead of Giana Erminio on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Desenzano Calvina | Giana Erminio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 4 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.55 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Desenzano Calvina scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Giana Erminio let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Desenzano Calvina stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Games between these two average 0.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Desenzano Calvina
(Home)Giana Erminio
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 16:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Ospitaletto | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:6 | 18 |
| 4 | Arzignano | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | 17 |
| 5 | Trento | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 12:5 | 17 |
| 6 | Treviso | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:7 | 13 |
| 7 | Desenzano Calvina | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:7 | 13 |
| 8 | AlbinoLeffe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 | Alcione Milano | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 13:14 | 12 |
| 10 | Lumezzane | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 11 | Pergolettese | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5:6 | 11 |
| 12 | Lecco | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | 10 |
| 13 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | 10 |
| 14 | Novara | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | 9 |
| 15 | Pro Vercelli | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:13 | 9 |
| 16 | Juventus U23 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:15 | 7 |
| 17 | Carpi | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11:19 | 6 |
| 18 | Folgore Caratese | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 8:12 | 5 |
| 20 | Renate | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8:14 | 4 |
