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Desenzano Calvina vs Vis Nova Giussano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Spini C.
8' Event
Proserpio N.
60' Event
Spini C.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2021/2022 game between Desenzano Calvina and Vis Nova Giussano finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Desenzano Calvina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Desenzano Calvina
6%
Draws
4%
Vis Nova Giussano
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Desenzano Calvina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Vis Nova Giussano haven't matched Desenzano Calvina's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Desenzano Calvina's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Desenzano Calvina have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Desenzano Calvina Clean Sheet 20%
Vis Nova Giussano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desenzano Calvina Vis Nova Giussano
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 26 8
Draws 10 4
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 0.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Desenzano Calvina vs Vis Nova Giussano
4:1
Dec 4, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Vis Nova Giussano vs Desenzano Calvina
1:2
Apr 1, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Vis Nova Giussano vs Desenzano Calvina
1:2
Dec 13, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Desenzano Calvina vs Vis Nova Giussano
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Desenzano Calvina Compare

Top Goalscorer Spini C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Franzoni A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Vis Nova Giussano Compare

Top Goalscorer Proserpio N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desenzano Calvina 85 / 100
Vis Nova Giussano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desenzano Calvina Vis Nova Giussano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vis Nova Giussano conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Desenzano Calvina scored in 76% of their last 41 outings.

Solid form: Desenzano Calvina remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Desenzano Calvina VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sangiuliano City38257681:3982
2Legnano381991049:4466
3USD Casatese381713870:4464
4Brusaporto3818101062:4964
5Folgore Caratese381891157:4663
6Desenzano Calvina381712965:4963
7Breno3816101256:4358
8Ciserano-Bergamo3815131066:5658
9Arconatese3815121162:5857
10Franciacorta3813131273:8052
11Crema3812101644:5246
12Castellanzese3812101650:5546
13Sona3811121543:5645
14Ponte San Pietro3810141454:5644
15Real Calepina3811111638:3944
16Villa Valle389121749:5639
17Caravaggio387161541:6237
18Vis Nova Giussano381052356:7735
19Olginatese388111943:6035
20AC Leon38892150:8833