Sport Picks
Desportiva Aracaju vs America de Propria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa Governo (Sergipe) 
Match Events
5'
5'
Bruninho
57'
57'
Bruninho
73'
73'
Silva A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Desportiva Aracaju
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Desportiva Aracaju have won more games recently than America de Propria.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Desportiva Aracaju taking it.
- Desportiva Aracaju have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Desportiva Aracaju, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Desportiva Aracaju Clean Sheet 68%
America de Propria Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Desportiva Aracaju | America de Propria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 17 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 12 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.12 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 Copa Governo (Sergipe)
Desportiva Aracaju vs America de Propria
3:2
Jan 31, 2026 Sergipano
America de Propria vs Desportiva Aracaju
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Desportiva Aracaju Compare
Top Goalscorer Bruninho
2 Goals Assists Leader Geferson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
America de Propria Compare
Top Goalscorer Silva A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Dauan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Desportiva Aracaju 95 / 100
America de Propria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Desportiva Aracaju America de Propria
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Desportiva Aracaju Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Desportiva Aracaju stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
America de Propria lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Desportiva Aracaju scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
America de Propria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 33 matches.
Scoring Trends
Desportiva Aracaju VS America de Propria
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Desportiva Aracaju
(Home) 30 Aug
Falcon
0 : 2 Desportiva Aracaju
23 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
0 : 0 Falcon
19 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
2 : 0 Lagarto
13 Aug
Guarany SE
0 : 1 Desportiva Aracaju
10 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
2 : 0 Lagarto
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
0 : 0 Falcon
19 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
2 : 0 Lagarto
10 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
2 : 0 Lagarto
01 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
3 : 2 America de Propria
11 Feb
Desportiva Aracaju
1 : 3 Lagarto
Page 1 of 3
America de Propria
(Away) 13 Aug
Falcon
1 : 0 America de Propria
08 Aug
America de Propria
2 : 3 Guarany SE
05 Aug
America de Propria
1 : 5 Atletico Gloriense
01 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
3 : 2 America de Propria
29 Jul
America de Propria
0 : 1 Lagarto
Page 1 of 7
13 Aug
Falcon
1 : 0 America de Propria
01 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
3 : 2 America de Propria
08 Mar
Itabaiana
1 : 0 America de Propria
01 Mar
Sergipe
2 : 1 America de Propria
22 Feb
Lagarto
0 : 3 America de Propria
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Falcon | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9:1 | 15 |
| 2 | Desportiva Aracaju | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 10 |
| 3 | Lagarto | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Atletico Gloriense | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 5 | Guarany SE | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 6 | America de Propria | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5:13 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Governo (Sergipe) (Play Offs)
