Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Desportiva Aracaju vs Barra SE

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barra SE in this Sergipano 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barra SE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Desportiva Aracaju
33%
Draws
27%
Barra SE
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Desportiva Aracaju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Barra SE haven't matched Desportiva Aracaju's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Desportiva Aracaju's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Sergipano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Desportiva Aracaju Clean Sheet 68%
Barra SE Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportiva Aracaju Barra SE
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 18 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.75 1
Goals Conceded 0.38 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2024 Sergipano 2
Desportiva Aracaju vs Barra SE
2:3
Sep 29, 2024 Sergipano 2
Barra SE vs Desportiva Aracaju
1:1
Sep 4, 2024 Sergipano 2
Desportiva Aracaju vs Barra SE
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportiva Aracaju 50 / 100
Barra SE 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportiva Aracaju Barra SE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportiva Aracaju's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Barra SE's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 26 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Barra SE's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Desportiva Aracaju VS Barra SE
2.75 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Desportiva Aracaju

(Home)
14 Feb
Falcon
2 : 0
Desportiva Aracaju
11 Feb
Desportiva Aracaju
1 : 3
Lagarto
08 Feb
Guarany SE
2 : 1
Desportiva Aracaju
04 Feb
Desportiva Aracaju
0 : 2
Sergipe
31 Jan
America de Propria
0 : 0
Desportiva Aracaju
Page 1 of 6

Barra SE

(Away)
01 Mar
Itabaiana
4 : 2
Barra SE
22 Feb
Barra SE
0 : 2
Dorense
15 Feb
Confianca
8 : 1
Barra SE
09 Feb
Barra SE
1 : 0
America de Propria
03 Feb
Barra SE
3 : 2
Carmopolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarany SE541014:213
2America de Pedrinhas541013:413
3Desportiva Aracaju540116:512
4Frei Paulistano52218:68
5Flamengo SE50143:161
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barra SE52217:68
2Atletico Central51135:74
3Independente SE51136:94
4Boca Junior51137:124
5Caninde51048:203
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Play Offs)