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Desportiva Aracaju vs Caninde Prediction & H2H Stats

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Sergipano 2
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AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2 game between Desportiva Aracaju and Caninde finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Desportiva Aracaju.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Desportiva Aracaju
15%
Draws
35%
Caninde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Desportiva Aracaju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Desportiva Aracaju come out ahead of Caninde on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Desportiva Aracaju taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Desportiva Aracaju Clean Sheet 68%
Caninde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportiva Aracaju Caninde
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 17 10
Draws 5 2
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.83 1.64
Goals Conceded 0.87 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2025 Sergipano 2
Desportiva Aracaju vs Caninde
4:0
Oct 19, 2024 Sergipano 2
Desportiva Aracaju vs Caninde
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportiva Aracaju 86 / 100
Caninde 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportiva Aracaju Caninde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Desportiva Aracaju Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Solid form: Desportiva Aracaju remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Desportiva Aracaju's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Caninde has conceded goals in 73% of their last 22 outings.

Scoring Trends

Desportiva Aracaju VS Caninde
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Desportiva Aracaju

(Home)
30 Aug
Falcon
0 : 2
Desportiva Aracaju
23 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
0 : 0
Falcon
19 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
2 : 0
Lagarto
13 Aug
Guarany SE
0 : 1
Desportiva Aracaju
10 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
2 : 0
Lagarto
Page 1 of 6

Caninde

(Away)
01 Nov
Independente SE
4 : 2
Caninde
25 Oct
Boca Junior
0 : 3
Caninde
18 Oct
Caninde
1 : 7
Olimpico EC
15 Oct
Caninde
1 : 0
Flamengo SE
12 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
0 : 3
Caninde
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Aracaju 9 8 1 0 26:3 25
2 Atletico Gloriense 9 7 1 1 22:2 22
3 Olimpico EC 9 7 1 1 22:5 22
4 Frei Paulistano 9 5 1 3 20:9 16
5 Caninde 9 4 1 4 14:20 13
6 America de Pedrinhas 9 3 2 4 9:15 11
7 Atletico Central 9 2 1 6 7:17 7
8 Flamengo SE 9 2 0 7 8:16 6
9 Independente SE 9 1 2 6 6:23 5
10 Boca Junior 9 1 0 8 4:28 0
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