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Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Catuense

Brazil Brazil

Serie A 1986
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Desportiva Ferroviaria play Catuense in the Serie A 1986. It looks like a close match. Recently, Desportiva Ferroviaria averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Catuense averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, Desportiva Ferroviaria won 0, Catuense won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 14, 1986 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Desportiva Ferroviaria and 1.19 for Catuense. This points to a Desportiva Ferroviaria double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Desportiva Ferroviaria
27%
Draws
30%
Catuense
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Desportiva Ferroviaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Desportiva Ferroviaria picked up more points recently compared to Catuense.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Desportiva Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 20%
Catuense Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportiva Ferroviaria Catuense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.23 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.73

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 1986 Serie A Betano
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Catuense
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportiva Ferroviaria 43 / 100
Catuense 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportiva Ferroviaria Catuense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Desportiva Ferroviaria or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Desportiva Ferroviaria attacking → ← attacking Catuense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportiva Ferroviaria scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Catuense let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Desportiva Ferroviaria went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Catuense lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 27
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sao Paulo1073021:717
2Internacional1054113:514
3Sport Recife1053211:613
4Fluminense105239:712
5Bangu1044211:612
6Ceara103438:1010
7Sobradinho103258:128
8Operario MS103169:157
9Sampaio Correa101455:156
10Remo100649:156
11Coritiba101363:95
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Flamengo RJ1062215:714
2Ponte Preta1061318:1113
3Corinthians1053216:613
4Athletico-PR1044212:512
5Gremio1043315:1111
6Goias103438:910
7America RJ1042410:1110
8Joinville1033414:179
9Sergipe103255:168
10Botafogo PB103169:167
11Paysandu PA101185:183
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bahia1073019:417
2Guarani1072119:516
3Santos1062216:614
4Rio Branco SP1054110:514
5Cruzeiro1043312:611
6Atletico GO104249:810
7Vasco1033411:49
8Nautico104067:138
9Tuna Luso102178:205
10Piaui101186:263
11Várzea Grande EC101184:243
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico-MG1073018:617
2Portuguesa1044212:1212
3Vitoria1027112:1011
4Comercial MS103439:1110
5Palmeiras1042419:1010
6Nacional-AM (Manaus)1034310:910
7CSA103438:710
8Botafogo RJ1034311:1110
9Santa Cruz1033411:149
10Fortaleza102267:196
11Alecrim101367:155
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Treze PB85218:212
2Maranhao842210:710
3Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)83415:210
4Moto Club84139:109
5America RN83329:39
6Guarany83238:98
7Ferroviario81437:86
8Sport Belem81255:114
9River-PI80446:154
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Central SC851211:611
2Americano851211:611
3Goytacaz841312:119
4CRB83236:78
5Catuense82429:98
6Desportiva Ferroviaria83239:78
7Taguatinga831414:127
8Fluminense de Feira81437:126
9Confianca81255:144
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Internacional de Limeira861116:313
2Juventus-SP84408:212
3Santo Andre83328:89
4Anapolis83238:98
5Itumbiara81616:78
6America MG823310:97
7Ubiratan71425:66
8Mixto81259:214
9Uberlandia70342:73
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Criciuma862012:414
2Marcilio Dias84228:610
3Londrina83329:89
4Pinheiros833211:99
5EC Juventude82427:58
6Avai83145:67
7Novo Hamburgo83148:117
8Brasil de Pelotas81258:134
9Cascavel Esporte Clube80446:124