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Desportiva Ferroviaria vs SAO Mateus Prediction & H2H Stats

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Campeonato Capixaba 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2017 game between Desportiva Ferroviaria and SAO Mateus finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Desportiva Ferroviaria
20%
Draws
22%
SAO Mateus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Desportiva Ferroviaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Desportiva Ferroviaria come out ahead of SAO Mateus on wins alone.
  • Desportiva Ferroviaria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Capixaba 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Desportiva Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 20%
SAO Mateus Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportiva Ferroviaria SAO Mateus
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.22 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.09 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2021 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
1:1
Feb 29, 2020 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
0:1
Feb 17, 2018 Capixaba
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs SAO Mateus
2:0
Mar 16, 2017 Capixaba
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs SAO Mateus
1:1
May 3, 2014 Capixaba
SAO Mateus vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportiva Ferroviaria 85 / 100
SAO Mateus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportiva Ferroviaria SAO Mateus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Desportiva Ferroviaria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SAO Mateus conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Desportiva Ferroviaria found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Desportiva Ferroviaria remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Desportiva Ferroviaria VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Desportiva Ferroviaria

(Home)
05 Mar
Desportiva Ferroviaria
0 : 1
Sport Recife
27 Feb
Vilavelhense
1 : 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria
22 Feb
Desportiva Ferroviaria
1 : 1
Vilavelhense
17 Feb
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 2
Desportiva Ferroviaria
12 Feb
Forte
0 : 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria
Page 1 of 7

SAO Mateus

(Away)
26 Oct
CTE Colatina
0 : 3
SAO Mateus
19 Oct
SAO Mateus
0 : 6
Linhares Futebol Clube
16 Oct
Pinheiros
5 : 0
SAO Mateus
03 Oct
SAO Mateus
0 : 6
Vilavelhense
28 Sept
SAO Mateus
1 : 5
CTE Colatina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CA Itapemirim 9 6 3 0 18:6 21
2 Doze Futebol Clube 9 6 1 2 15:11 19
3 Galatas 9 3 4 2 10:8 13
4 Tupy 9 3 3 3 9:12 12
5 SAO Mateus 9 3 2 4 13:14 11
6 Vitoria ES 9 2 5 2 8:10 11
7 Desportiva Ferroviaria 9 2 4 3 10:7 10
8 Rio Branco ES 9 2 4 3 10:13 10
9 Real Noroeste 9 3 1 5 10:14 10
10 Linhares Futebol Clube 9 0 3 6 5:13 3
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2017 (Play Offs)