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Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Tupy

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2017
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Match Events

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No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Desportiva Ferroviaria host Tupy in the Campeonato Capixaba 2017. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Desportiva Ferroviaria have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Tupy's 0.5 scored and 0 conceded. Past meetings favor Desportiva Ferroviaria slightly — 3-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2019, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.17 xG vs 1.13) point toward Desportiva Ferroviaria. Desportiva Ferroviaria in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Desportiva Ferroviaria
30%
Draws
34%
Tupy
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Desportiva Ferroviaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Desportiva Ferroviaria has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Tupy.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Desportiva Ferroviaria.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato Capixaba 2017 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Desportiva Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 20%
Tupy Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportiva Ferroviaria Tupy
Matches Played 42 31
Wins 18 7
Draws 10 11
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 0
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2019 Capixaba
Tupy vs Desportiva Ferroviaria
0:1
Jan 27, 2018 Capixaba
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Tupy
3:0
Mar 25, 2017 Capixaba
Desportiva Ferroviaria vs Tupy
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportiva Ferroviaria 36 / 100
Tupy 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportiva Ferroviaria Tupy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Desportiva Ferroviaria scored in 76% of their last 42 games.

Tupy let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Desportiva Ferroviaria went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tupy lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Desportiva Ferroviaria VS Tupy
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CA Itapemirim963018:621
2Doze Futebol Clube961215:1119
3Galatas934210:813
4Tupy93339:1212
5SAO Mateus932413:1411
6Vitoria ES92528:1011
7Desportiva Ferroviaria924310:710
8Rio Branco ES924310:1310
9Real Noroeste931510:1410
10Linhares Futebol Clube90365:133