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Desportiva Guarabira vs Sabugy

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Desportiva Guarabira in this Paraibano 2 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Desportiva Guarabira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Desportiva Guarabira
6%
Draws
4%
Sabugy
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Desportiva Guarabira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Desportiva Guarabira have won more games recently than Sabugy.
  • Desportiva Guarabira are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Paraibano 2 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Desportiva Guarabira Clean Sheet 20%
Sabugy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Desportiva Guarabira Sabugy
Matches Played 30 18
Wins 12 2
Draws 7 2
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.63 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 3.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 3.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2025 Paraibano 2
Desportiva Guarabira vs Sabugy
2:0
Sep 24, 2023 Paraibano 2
Desportiva Guarabira vs Sabugy
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Desportiva Guarabira 85 / 100
Sabugy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Desportiva Guarabira Sabugy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sabugy conceded in 94% of 18 recent games.

Desportiva Guarabira's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Desportiva Guarabira went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Desportiva Guarabira VS Sabugy
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1EC de Patos962118:920
2Atletico Cajazeirense961221:819
3Confianca PB960322:1318
4Pombal951312:516
5Spartax943210:815
6Picuiense942313:1214
7Desportiva Guarabira941413:1713
8Sport PB922512:178
9Sabugy91267:125
10Perilima90090:270